With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.2x in the Healthcare industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about InnovAge Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:INNV) P/S ratio of 0.8x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
How Has InnovAge Holding Performed Recently?
Recent times haven't been great for InnovAge Holding as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
Keen to find out how analysts think InnovAge Holding's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, InnovAge Holding would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 4.6% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen a 19% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 11% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 7.5%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that InnovAge Holding is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, InnovAge Holding's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for InnovAge Holding with six simple checks.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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