share_log

Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Huajin International Holdings' (HKG:2738) Earnings

Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Huajin International Holdings' (HKG:2738) Earnings

投资者不应该对华金国际控股(HKG: 2738)的收益过于满意
Simply Wall St ·  05/06 01:53

Huajin International Holdings Limited (HKG:2738) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that shareholders have noticed something concerning in the numbers.

华津国际控股有限公司(HKG: 2738)宣布盈利强劲,但该股停滞不前。我们的分析表明,股东们注意到了一些令人担忧的数字。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:2738 Earnings and Revenue History May 6th 2024
SEHK: 2738 收益和收入历史记录 2024 年 5 月 6 日

Examining Cashflow Against Huajin International Holdings' Earnings

根据华金国际控股的收益研究现金流

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

许多投资者尚未听说过现金流的应计比率,但它实际上是衡量公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利润的有用指标。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,而正应计比率是负数。虽然应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长减弱。

For the year to December 2023, Huajin International Holdings had an accrual ratio of 0.42. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥895m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥85.7m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥895m, this year, indicates high risk.

截至2023年12月的一年中,华津国际控股的应计比率为0.42。通常,这对未来的盈利能力来说是个坏兆头。事实上,在此期间,该公司没有产生任何自由现金流。在过去的一年里,它实际上有 负面的 自由现金流为8.95亿元人民币,而上述利润为8,570万元人民币。在去年自由现金流为负的背景下,我们想象一些股东可能会怀疑其今年8.95亿元的现金消耗是否表明存在高风险。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Huajin International Holdings.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对华津国际控股的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Huajin International Holdings' Profit Performance

我们对华金国际控股盈利表现的看法

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Huajin International Holdings didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Huajin International Holdings' underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. On the bright side, the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you want to do dive deeper into Huajin International Holdings, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. When we did our research, we found 4 warning signs for Huajin International Holdings (3 are a bit concerning!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

正如我们已经明确指出的那样,我们有点担心华金国际控股没有用自由现金流来支持去年的利润。因此,我们认为华金国际控股的基础盈利能力很可能低于其法定利润。好的一面是,该公司在去年亏损之后,表现出了足够的改善,今年实现了盈利。归根结底,如果你想正确地了解公司,必须考虑的不仅仅是上述因素。如果你想更深入地了解华津国际控股,你还需要研究它目前面临的风险。当我们进行研究时,我们发现了华津国际控股的4个警告信号(3个有点令人担忧!)我们认为值得你全神贯注。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Huajin International Holdings' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

本报告仅研究了揭示华金国际控股利润性质的单一因素。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发