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Jiangsu Liba Enterprise's (SHSE:603519) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

Jiangsu Liba Enterprise's (SHSE:603519) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

江苏立霸企业(上海证券交易所股票代码:603519)的问题不仅限于利润疲软
Simply Wall St ·  05/05 20:29

Jiangsu Liba Enterprise Joint-Stock Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603519) recent weak earnings report didn't cause a big stock movement. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

江苏立霸企业股份有限公司's(上海证券交易所代码:603519)最近疲软的收益报告并未导致股市大幅波动。但是,我们认为,投资者应注意一些可能令人担忧的潜在因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603519 Earnings and Revenue History May 6th 2024
SHSE: 603519 收益和收入历史记录 2024 年 5 月 6 日

A Closer Look At Jiangsu Liba Enterprise's Earnings

仔细看看江苏立霸企业的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

正如金融迷已经知道的那样,现金流的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与利润匹配程度的关键指标。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间内公司的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少没有自由现金流的支持。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果其应计比率为正,则是一件坏事。虽然应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,总的来说,高应计率对短期利润来说是个坏兆头。

For the year to March 2024, Jiangsu Liba Enterprise had an accrual ratio of 0.37. Ergo, its free cash flow is significantly weaker than its profit. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥80m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of CN¥428.9m. Jiangsu Liba Enterprise's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, but it may bounce back next year, since free cash flow is often more volatile than accounting profits.

在截至2024年3月的一年中,江苏立霸企业的应计比率为0.37。因此,其自由现金流明显低于其利润。从统计学上讲,这对未来的收益来说确实是负面的。实际上,它去年的自由现金流为8000万元人民币,远低于其4.289亿元人民币的法定利润。去年,江苏立巴企业的自由现金流实际上有所下降,但明年可能会反弹,因为自由现金流通常比会计利润更具波动性。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Jiangsu Liba Enterprise.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对江苏立霸企业的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Jiangsu Liba Enterprise's Profit Performance

我们对江苏立霸企业盈利表现的看法

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Jiangsu Liba Enterprise didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Jiangsu Liba Enterprise's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for Jiangsu Liba Enterprise (1 is concerning!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

正如我们已经明确指出的那样,我们有点担心江苏立霸企业没有用自由现金流来支持去年的利润。因此,我们认为江苏立霸企业的潜在盈利能力很可能低于其法定利润。但好的一面是,其每股收益在过去三年中以极其惊人的速度增长。当然,我们只是在分析其收益时才浮出水面;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报率等因素。请记住,在分析股票时,值得注意所涉及的风险。当我们进行研究时,我们发现了江苏 Liba 企业的 3 个警告信号(1 个令人担忧!)我们认为值得你全神贯注。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Jiangsu Liba Enterprise's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

这份报告只研究了揭示江苏立霸企业利润性质的单一因素。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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