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Kingland TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:000711) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying Issues

Kingland TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:000711) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying Issues

Kingland TechnologyLtd(深圳证券交易所代码:000711)的利润可能不会显示潜在问题
Simply Wall St ·  05/04 20:36

Kingland Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:000711) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.

金兰科技股份有限公司, Ltd. 's(深圳证券交易所股票代码:000711)近期强劲的收益并没有对该股产生太大影响。我们认为,股东们已经注意到法定利润数字之外的一些令人担忧的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:000711 Earnings and Revenue History May 5th 2024
SZSE: 000711 收益和收入历史记录 2024 年 5 月 5 日

A Closer Look At Kingland TechnologyLtd's Earnings

仔细看看金兰科技有限公司的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

正如金融迷已经知道的那样,现金流的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与利润匹配程度的关键指标。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,正应计比率是负数。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司未来的利润往往较低”。

Over the twelve months to March 2024, Kingland TechnologyLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 1.33. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥340m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥1.14b. We saw that FCF was CN¥124m a year ago though, so Kingland TechnologyLtd has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. However, that's not the end of the story. We can look at how unusual items in the profit and loss statement impacted its accrual ratio, as well as explore how dilution is impacting shareholders negatively. The good news for shareholders is that Kingland TechnologyLtd's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

在截至2024年3月的十二个月中,金兰科技有限公司的应计比率为1.33。从统计学上讲,这对未来的收益来说确实是负面的。换句话说,该公司在那段时间内没有产生一点自由现金流。在过去的一年里,它实际上有 负面的 自由现金流为3.4亿元人民币,而上述利润为11.4亿元人民币。但是,我们看到一年前的FCF为1.24亿元人民币,因此Kingland TechnologyLtd过去至少能够产生正的FCF。但是,这还不是故事的结局。我们可以研究损益表中的不寻常项目如何影响其应计比率,并探讨稀释如何对股东产生负面影响。对股东来说,好消息是,Kingland TechnologyLTD去年的应计比率要好得多,因此今年的糟糕数据可能只是利润与FCF之间短期不匹配的例子。因此,一些股东可能希望在本年度实现更强的现金转换。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Kingland TechnologyLtd.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对Kingland TechnologyLtd的资产负债表分析。

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. In fact, Kingland TechnologyLtd increased the number of shares on issue by 179% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. You can see a chart of Kingland TechnologyLtd's EPS by clicking here.

要了解公司收益增长的价值,必须考虑削弱股东的利益。实际上,金兰科技有限公司通过发行新股,在过去十二个月中将已发行股票数量增加了179%。这意味着其收益将分配给更多的股票。每股收益等每股指标可以帮助我们了解实际股东从公司的利润中受益的程度,而净收入水平则使我们能够更好地了解公司的绝对规模。你可以点击此处查看金兰科技有限公司的每股收益图表。

How Is Dilution Impacting Kingland TechnologyLtd's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

稀释如何影响金兰科技有限公司的每股收益(EPS)?

Three years ago, Kingland TechnologyLtd lost money. Zooming in to the last year, we still can't talk about growth rates coherently, since it made a loss last year. What we do know is that while it's great to see a profit over the last twelve months, that profit would have been better, on a per share basis, if the company hadn't needed to issue shares. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is having a rather significant impact on shareholders.

三年前,金兰科技有限公司亏损。放眼去年,我们仍然无法连贯地谈论增长率,因为去年增长率出现亏损。我们所知道的是,尽管在过去的十二个月中看到盈利是件好事,但如果公司不需要发行股票,按每股计算,这种利润本来会更好。因此,你可以清楚地看到,稀释对股东产生了相当大的影响。

If Kingland TechnologyLtd's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

如果Kingland TechnologyLtd的每股收益能够随着时间的推移而增长,那么这将大大提高股价朝着同一方向上涨的机会。但另一方面,得知利润(但不是每股收益)在改善,我们就不那么兴奋了。对于普通零售股东来说,每股收益是检查您假设的公司利润 “份额” 的好方法。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不寻常物品对利润的影响

Unfortunately (in the short term) Kingland TechnologyLtd saw its profit reduced by unusual items worth CN¥507m. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. In the twelve months to March 2024, Kingland TechnologyLtd had a big unusual items expense. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit look worse than its underlying earnings power.

不幸的是(在短期内),金兰科技有限公司的利润因价值5.07亿元人民币的不寻常物品而减少。如果这是非现金支出,如果现金流保持强劲,本来可以改善应计比率,因此,再加上平淡无奇的应计比率,就不太好了。尽管由于不寻常项目而产生的扣除首先令人失望,但有一线希望。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大不寻常的事项往往不会重演。而且,毕竟,这正是会计术语的含义。在截至2024年3月的十二个月中,金兰科技有限公司有一笔巨额的不寻常物品支出。在其他条件相同的情况下,这可能会使法定利润看起来比其基本盈利能力差。

Our Take On Kingland TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance

我们对金兰科技有限公司盈利表现的看法

In conclusion, Kingland TechnologyLtd's accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow; but the fact unusual items actually weighed on profit may create upside if those unusual items to not recur. And the dilution means that per-share results are weaker than the bottom line might imply. Considering all this we'd argue Kingland TechnologyLtd's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with Kingland TechnologyLtd, and understanding these bad boys should be part of your investment process.

总之,Kingland TechnologyLtd的应计比率表明其法定收益没有现金流支持;但如果这些不寻常的项目不再出现,则不寻常的项目实际上压制了利润,这一事实可能会创造上行空间。而稀释意味着每股业绩低于底线可能暗示的水平。考虑到所有这些,我们认为Kingland TechnologyLTD的利润可能给人一种对其可持续盈利水平的过于慷慨的印象。请记住,在分析股票时,值得注意所涉及的风险。在投资风险方面,我们已经向Kingland TechnologyLtd确定了两个警告信号,了解这些坏孩子应该是你投资过程的一部分。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在这篇文章中,我们研究了许多可能损害利润数字效用的因素,我们采取了谨慎的态度。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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