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1st Source (NASDAQ:SRCE) Shareholders Notch a 24% Return Over 1 Year, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking

1st Source (NASDAQ:SRCE) Shareholders Notch a 24% Return Over 1 Year, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking

第一来源(纳斯达克股票代码:SRCE)股东在1年内实现了24%的回报,但收益一直在萎缩
Simply Wall St ·  05/04 08:30

We believe investing is smart because history shows that stock markets go higher in the long term. But if when you choose to buy stocks, some of them will be below average performers. Over the last year the 1st Source Corporation (NASDAQ:SRCE) share price is up 21%, but that's less than the broader market return. Having said that, the longer term returns aren't so impressive, with stock gaining just 5.0% in three years.

我们认为投资是明智之举,因为历史表明,从长远来看,股市会走高。但是,如果你选择买入股票,其中一些股票的表现将低于平均水平。去年,第一资源公司(纳斯达克股票代码:SRCE)的股价上涨了21%,但低于整个市场的回报率。话虽如此,长期回报并不那么令人印象深刻,股票在三年内仅上涨了5.0%。

After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.

在过去一周强劲上涨之后,值得一看的是长期回报是否是由基本面改善推动的。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

Over the last twelve months, 1st Source actually shrank its EPS by 0.5%.

在过去的十二个月中,1st Source实际上将其每股收益缩减了0.5%。

Sometimes companies will sacrifice EPS in the short term for longer term gains; and in that case we may be able to find other positives. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

有时,公司会在短期内牺牲每股收益以获得长期收益;在这种情况下,我们也许能够找到其他积极的方面。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化无关,因此值得研究其他指标。

Revenue was pretty stable on last year, so deeper research might be needed to explain the share price rise.

收入与去年相比相当稳定,因此可能需要进行更深入的研究来解释股价上涨。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:SRCE Earnings and Revenue Growth May 4th 2024
纳斯达克GS:SRCE 收益和收入增长 2024 年 5 月 4 日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

可能值得注意的是,首席执行官的薪水低于类似规模公司的中位数。始终值得关注首席执行官的薪酬,但更重要的问题是公司多年来是否会增加收益。因此,我们建议您查看这份显示共识预测的免费报告

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, 1st Source's TSR for the last 1 year was 24%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。碰巧的是,1st Source在过去1年的股东总回报率为24%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

1st Source's TSR for the year was broadly in line with the market average, at 24%. That gain looks pretty satisfying, and it is even better than the five-year TSR of 4% per year. It is possible that management foresight will bring growth well into the future, even if the share price slows down. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with 1st Source .

1st Source今年的股东总回报率与市场平均水平基本持平,为24%。这种增长看起来相当令人满意,甚至比每年4%的五年期股东总回报率还要好。即使股价放缓,管理层的远见也有可能为未来带来增长。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。为此,你应该注意我们在第一来源中发现的 1 个警告标志。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

对于那些喜欢寻找中奖投资的人来说,这份最近有内幕收购的成长型公司的免费名单可能只是门票。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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