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Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's (SHSE:603777) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's (SHSE:603777) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings

上海来易芬有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:603777)的股东需要担心的不仅仅是软收益
Simply Wall St ·  05/03 19:14

Despite Shanghai Laiyifen Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603777) most recent earnings report having soft headline numbers, its stock has had a positive performance. We looked at the details, and we think that investors may be responding to some encouraging factors.

尽管上海来伊芬有限公司,Ltd(上海证券交易所代码:603777)的最新收益报告显示了疲软的标题数据,其股票表现良好。我们研究了细节,我们认为投资者可能正在对一些令人鼓舞的因素做出回应。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603777 Earnings and Revenue History May 3rd 2024
SHSE: 603777 2024 年 5 月 3 日的收益和收入历史记录

Zooming In On Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's Earnings

放大上海来易芬有限公司的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

正如财务爱好者已经知道的那样,现金流的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与其利润相匹配程度的关键指标。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以公司在该时期内的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,而正应计比率是负数。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长减弱。

Over the twelve months to March 2024, Shanghai LaiyifenLtd recorded an accrual ratio of -0.28. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥260m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥47.1m. Shanghai LaiyifenLtd did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie. However, we can see that a recent tax benefit, along with unusual items, have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore its accrual ratio.

在截至2024年3月的十二个月中,上海莱易芬有限公司的应计比率为-0.28。这意味着它的现金转化率非常好,而且其去年的收益实际上大大低估了其自由现金流。换句话说,它在此期间产生了2.6亿元人民币的自由现金流,使其报告的4710万元利润相形见绌。上海LaiyifenLtd的自由现金流确实同比下降,这并不理想,就像辛普森没有场地管理员威利的剧集一样。但是,我们可以看到,最近的税收优惠以及不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,进而影响了应计比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai LaiyifenLtd.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对上海来易芬有限公司的资产负债表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不寻常物品对利润的影响

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥23m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to March 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

尽管应计比率可能是个好兆头,但我们还注意到,在过去的十二个月中,价值2300万元人民币的不寻常项目提振了上海LaiyifenLtd的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当不寻常的物品做出重大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎一些。我们统计了全球大多数上市公司的数字,不寻常的物品在自然界中很常见。这正如你所预料的那样,因为这些增强被描述为 “不寻常”。我们可以看到,截至2024年3月的一年中,上海莱易芬有限公司的正面不寻常项目与其利润相比相当可观。在其他条件相同的情况下,这可能会使法定利润成为衡量潜在盈利能力的不良指导。

An Unusual Tax Situation

不寻常的税收状况

In addition to the notable accrual ratio, we can see that Shanghai LaiyifenLtd received a tax benefit of CN¥4.8m. This is of course a bit out of the ordinary, given it is more common for companies to be paying tax than receiving tax benefits! Of course, prima facie it's great to receive a tax benefit. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. Assuming the tax benefit is not repeated every year, we could see its profitability drop noticeably, all else being equal. So while we think it's great to receive a tax benefit, it does tend to imply an increased risk that the statutory profit overstates the sustainable earnings power of the business.

除了显著的应计比率外,我们可以看到上海来易芬有限公司获得了480万元人民币的税收优惠。这当然有点不寻常,因为公司纳税比获得税收优惠更为普遍!当然, 初步证实 能获得税收优惠真是太好了。但是,细节上的问题在于,此类福利仅在预订当年有影响,而且本质上通常是一次性的。假设每年都不重复享受税收优惠,在其他条件相同的情况下,我们可能会看到其盈利能力明显下降。因此,尽管我们认为获得税收优惠是件好事,但这确实意味着法定利润夸大了企业可持续盈利能力的风险增加。

Our Take On Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's Profit Performance

我们对上海来易芬有限公司盈利表现的看法

In conclusion, Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's accrual ratio suggests its earnings are well backed by cash but its boost from unusual items, and a tax benefit, probably mean that the statutory number make the company seem more profitable than it is at an underlying level. Based on these factors, we think that Shanghai LaiyifenLtd's statutory profits probably make it seem better than it is on an underlying level. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Shanghai LaiyifenLtd you should know about.

总之,Shanghai LaiyifenLtd的应计比率表明其收益有充足的现金支持,但其来自不寻常项目的提振和税收优惠,可能意味着法定数字使该公司的利润似乎比基础水平更高。基于这些因素,我们认为上海LaiyifenLtd的法定利润可能使其看起来比基础水平要好。有鉴于此,如果你想对公司进行更多分析,了解所涉及的风险至关重要。每家公司都有风险,我们发现了你应该知道的3个上海来易芬有限公司的警告信号。

Our examination of Shanghai LaiyifenLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我们对上海LaiyifenLtd的审查侧重于某些可能使其收益看起来好于实际的因素。而且,在此基础上,我们有些怀疑。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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