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Need To Know: Analysts Are Much More Bullish On Zhongjin Gold Corp.,Ltd (SHSE:600489)

Need To Know: Analysts Are Much More Bullish On Zhongjin Gold Corp.,Ltd (SHSE:600489)

须知:分析师更加看好中金黄金股份有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:600489)
Simply Wall St ·  05/03 18:04

Celebrations may be in order for Zhongjin Gold Corp.,Ltd (SHSE:600489) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a significant upgrade to their statutory estimates for the company. The analysts greatly increased their revenue estimates, suggesting a stark improvement in business fundamentals.

中金黄金有限公司(SHSE: 600489)的股东可能即将举行庆祝活动,分析师对该公司的法定估计进行了重大上调。分析师大幅提高了收入预期,这表明业务基本面明显改善。

Following the upgrade, the latest consensus from Zhongjin GoldLtd's nine analysts is for revenues of CN¥71b in 2024, which would reflect a solid 16% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to climb 15% to CN¥0.76. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥61b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.68 in 2024. There has definitely been an improvement in perception recently, with the analysts substantially increasing both their earnings and revenue estimates.

上调后,中金黄金有限公司的九位分析师的最新共识是,2024年的收入为710亿元人民币,这将反映出与过去12个月相比销售额稳步增长16%。每股收益预计将增长15%,至0.76元人民币。此前,分析师一直在模拟2024年的收入为610亿元人民币,每股收益(EPS)为0.68元人民币。最近,人们的看法肯定有所改善,分析师大幅提高了他们的收益和收入预期。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600489 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 3rd 2024
SHSE: 600489 收益和收入增长 2024 年 5 月 3 日

It will come as no surprise to learn that the analysts have increased their price target for Zhongjin GoldLtd 13% to CN¥14.76 on the back of these upgrades.

在这些上调的背景下,分析师将中金黄金有限公司的目标股价上调了13%,至14.76元人民币也就不足为奇了。

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Zhongjin GoldLtd's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 22% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 10% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 11% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Zhongjin GoldLtd to grow faster than the wider industry.

现在从大局来看,我们理解这些预测的方法之一是了解它们与过去的表现和行业增长估计相比如何。分析师肯定预计中金黄金有限公司的增长将加速,预计到2024年底的年化增长率为22%,而过去五年中每年增长10%的历史增长率则处于有利地位。相比之下,我们的数据表明,预计类似行业的其他公司(有分析师报道)的收入将以每年11%的速度增长。显而易见,尽管增长前景比最近更加光明,但分析师也预计,中金黄金有限公司的增长速度将超过整个行业。

The Bottom Line

底线

The biggest takeaway for us from these new estimates is that analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, with improved earnings power expected for this year. Fortunately, analysts also upgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates sales are expected to perform better than the wider market. With a serious upgrade to expectations and a rising price target, it might be time to take another look at Zhongjin GoldLtd.

这些新估计给我们带来的最大收获是,分析师上调了每股收益预期,预计今年的盈利能力将有所提高。幸运的是,分析师还上调了收入预期,我们的数据显示,预计销售表现将好于整个市场。随着预期的重大上调和目标股价的上升,可能是时候重新审视中金黄金有限公司了。

Using these estimates as a starting point, we've run a discounted cash flow calculation (DCF) on Zhongjin GoldLtd that suggests the company could be somewhat undervalued. For more information, you can click through to our platform to learn more about our valuation approach.

以这些估计为起点,我们对中金黄金有限公司进行了折扣现金流计算(DCF),这表明该公司的估值可能有所低估。欲了解更多信息,您可以点击我们的平台,详细了解我们的估值方法。

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are upgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

当然,看到公司管理层将大量资金投资于股票与了解分析师是否在提高预期一样有用。因此,您可能还希望搜索这份内部人士正在购买的免费股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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