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Implied Volatility(IV) for trading options

Implied Volatility(IV) for trading options

交易期权的隐含波动率(IV)
Moomoo News ·  2021/02/17 10:18  · 独家

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Volatility is one of the six inputs of an option-pricing model. Some of the other inputs - strike price, stock price, the number of days until expiration, and the current interest rate - are easily observable. 

波动率是期权定价模型的六个输入之一。其他一些输入--执行价格、股票价格、到期前的天数和当前利率--很容易观察到。

Some traders mistakenly believe that volatility is based on a directional trend in the stock price. Not so, by definition, volatility is simply the amount the stock price fluctuates, without regard for direction. 

一些交易员错误地认为,波动性是基于股价的方向性趋势。不是这样的,从定义上讲,波动率仅仅是股票价格的波动量,而不考虑方向。

As an individual trader, you really only need to concern yourself with two forms of volatility: historical volatility and implied volatility. Historical volatility is defined in textbooks as "the annualized standard deviation of past stock price movements." But here, let's just say it's how much the stock price fluctuated on a day-to-day basis over a one-year period. 

作为个人交易者,你真的只需要关注两种形式的波动率:历史波动率和隐含波动率。历史波动率在教科书中被定义为“过去股票价格变动的年化标准差”。但在这里,这么说吧,它是指股票价格在一年的时间里每天的波动幅度。

Implied volatility isn't based on historical pricing data on the stock. Instead, it's what the marketplace is "implying" the volatility of the stock will be in the future, based on the price changes in an option. Like historical volatility, this figure is expressed on an annualized basis. But implied volatility is typical of more interest to retail options traders than historical volatility because it's forward-looking

隐含波动率不是基于股票的历史定价数据。相反,这是市场根据期权价格的变化来“暗示”股票未来的波动性。。与历史波动性一样,这一数字是按年率表示的。但隐含波动率通常比历史波动率更令散户期权交易者感兴趣,因为它前瞻性.

For a specific stock price

对于特定的股票价格

Implied volatility is a dynamic figure that changes based on activity in the options marketplace. Usually, when implied volatility increases, the price of options will increase as well, assuming all other things remain constant. So when implied volatility increases after a trade has been placed, it's good for the option owner and bad for the option seller.

隐含波动率是一个动态数字,根据期权市场的活动而变化。通常,假设所有其他因素保持不变,当隐含波动率上升时,期权价格也会上升。因此,当交易完成后隐含波动率增加时,对期权所有者有利,对期权卖方不利。

Conversely, if implied volatility decreases after your trade is placed, the price of options usually decreases. That's good if you're an option seller and bad if you're an option owner.

相反,如果交易后隐含波动率下降,期权价格通常也会下降。如果你是期权卖家,这是好事,但如果你是期权所有者,这就不好了。

Given implied volatility will yield a unique option value. Take a stock trading at $44.22 that has the 60-day $45-strike call at a theoretical value of $1.10 with an 18% implied volatility level. If the stock price remains constant, but IV raises to 19%, the value of the call will rise by its vega (in this case let's say about 0.07). The new value of the call will be $1.17 ($1.10+0.07). Rising IV another point to 20%, raises the theoretical value by another 0.07, to $1.24. 

鉴于隐含波动率将产生唯一的期权价值。以一只44.22美元的股票为例,它的60天45美元买入权理论价值为1.10美元,隐含波动率水平为18%。如果股价保持不变,但IV提高到19%,看涨期权的价值将上升它的织女星(在这种情况下,假设大约0.07)。认购的新价值将为1.17美元(1.10美元+0.07美元)。上涨IV个百分点至20%,将理论价值再提高0.07美元,至1.24美元。

The question is: Where does implied volatility come from? 

问题是:隐含波动率从何而来?

Based on truth and rumors in the marketplace, option prices will begin to change. If there's an earnings announcement or a major court decision coming up, traders will alter trading patterns on certain options. That drives the price of those options up or down, independent of stock price movement. Keep in mind, it's not the options' intrinsic value(if any) that is changing. Only the options' time value is affected. 

根据市场上的事实和传言,期权价格将开始变化。如果即将公布业绩或法院做出重大裁决,交易员将改变某些期权的交易模式。这推动了这些期权的价格上涨或下跌,与股价走势无关。请记住,改变的并不是期权的内在价值(如果有的话)。只有选项的时间值受影响。

The reason the option' time value will change is because of changes in the perceived potential range of future price movement on the stock. Implied volatility can then be derived from the cost of the option. In fact, if there were no options traded on a given stock, there would be no way to calculate implied volatility. 

期权的时间价值将发生变化的原因是股票未来价格波动的感知潜在范围的变化。然后,隐含波动率可以从期权的成本中推导出来。事实上,如果一只给定的股票没有期权交易,就无法计算隐含波动率。

Editor:Eli

编辑:Eli

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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