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Rocky Brands, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RCKY) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Rocky Brands, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RCKY) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Rocky Brands, Inc.”s(纳斯达克股票代码:RCKY)股票上涨但财务状况看起来模棱两可:势头会持续吗?
Simply Wall St ·  05/03 09:08

Rocky Brands' (NASDAQ:RCKY) stock is up by a considerable 28% over the past week. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Specifically, we decided to study Rocky Brands' ROE in this article.

洛基布兰德斯(纳斯达克股票代码:RCKY)的股票在过去一周上涨了28%。但是该公司的关键财务指标似乎各不相同,这使我们质疑该公司目前的股价势头是否可以维持。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究洛基布兰德斯的投资回报率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

投资回报率或股本回报率是评估公司如何有效地从股东那里获得投资回报的有用工具。换句话说,它揭示了公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Rocky Brands is:

因此,根据上述公式,洛基品牌的投资回报率为:

5.9% = US$13m ÷ US$225m (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

5.9% = 1300万美元 ÷ 2.25亿美元(基于截至2024年3月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.06.

“回报” 是企业在过去一年中获得的收入。因此,这意味着其股东每投资1美元,公司就会产生0.06美元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。然后,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力,具体取决于公司对这些利润进行再投资或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

Rocky Brands' Earnings Growth And 5.9% ROE

洛基品牌的收益增长和5.9%的投资回报率

On the face of it, Rocky Brands' ROE is not much to talk about. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 13%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 3.5% seen by Rocky Brands was probably the result of it having a lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

从表面上看,洛基·布兰德斯的投资回报率没什么好谈的。接下来,与13%的行业平均投资回报率相比,该公司的投资回报率使我们感到不那么热情。因此,说洛基品牌五年净收入下降3.5%可能是其投资回报率下降的结果,这可能没有错。我们认为,可能还有其他方面对公司的盈利前景产生负面影响。例如,该公司的派息率非常高,或者面临竞争压力。

However, when we compared Rocky Brands' growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 15% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

但是,当我们将Rocky Brands的增长与该行业的增长进行比较时,我们发现,尽管该公司的收益一直在萎缩,但该行业同期的收益增长了15%。这非常令人担忧。

past-earnings-growth
NasdaqGS:RCKY Past Earnings Growth May 3rd 2024
纳斯达克股票代码:RCKY 过去的收益增长 2024 年 5 月 3 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Rocky Brands''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。无论情况如何,投资者都应设法确定预期的收益增长或下降是否已计入其中。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水还是沼泽水域在等着呢。如果你想知道洛基品牌的估值,可以看看这个衡量其市盈率与行业相比的指标。

Is Rocky Brands Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

洛基品牌是否有效地使用了其留存收益?

Rocky Brands' low three-year median payout ratio of 22% (or a retention ratio of 78%) over the last three years should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth but the company's earnings have actually shrunk. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For example, the company's business may be deteriorating.

洛基布兰德斯在过去三年中低的三年派息率中位数为22%(或78%的留存率),这应该意味着该公司保留了大部分收益来推动增长,但该公司的收益实际上已经萎缩。低支出应意味着该公司保留了大部分收益,因此应该会出现一些增长。因此,在这方面可能还有其他解释。例如,公司的业务可能正在恶化。

In addition, Rocky Brands has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

此外,洛基·布兰德斯(Rocky Brands)至少十年来一直在支付股息,这表明即使以牺牲业务增长为代价,维持股息支付对管理层来说也更为重要。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Rocky Brands. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for Rocky Brands.

总的来说,我们对洛基品牌的看法喜忧参半。尽管鉴于投资回报率低,它似乎保留了大部分利润,但投资者毕竟可能无法从所有这些再投资中受益。低收入增长表明我们的理论是正确的。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是研究该业务的风险状况。我们的风险仪表板将包含我们为洛基品牌确定的三种风险。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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