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Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Zymeworks' (NASDAQ:ZYME) Cash Burn Situation

Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Zymeworks' (NASDAQ:ZYME) Cash Burn Situation

这就是为什么我们不太担心Zymeworks(纳斯达克股票代码:ZYME)的现金消耗情况的原因
Simply Wall St ·  05/03 08:42

There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.

毫无疑问,拥有无利可图企业的股票可以赚钱。例如,生物技术和采矿勘探公司在通过新的处理方法或矿物发现取得成功之前,通常会亏损多年。话虽如此,无利可图的公司是有风险的,因为它们有可能耗尽所有现金并陷入困境。

So, the natural question for Zymeworks (NASDAQ:ZYME) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. For the purpose of this article, we'll define cash burn as the amount of cash the company is spending each year to fund its growth (also called its negative free cash flow). First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

因此,对于Zymeworks(纳斯达克股票代码:ZYME)股东来说,自然而然的问题是他们是否应该担心其现金消耗率。就本文而言,我们将现金消耗定义为公司每年为其增长提供资金的现金金额(也称为负自由现金流)。首先,我们将通过将其现金消耗与现金储备进行比较来确定其现金流道。

How Long Is Zymeworks' Cash Runway?

Zymeworks 的现金跑道有多长?

A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. As at December 2023, Zymeworks had cash of US$374m and no debt. In the last year, its cash burn was US$122m. That means it had a cash runway of about 3.1 years as of December 2023. There's no doubt that this is a reassuringly long runway. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

公司的现金流是指以当前的现金消耗率消耗现金储备所需的时间。截至2023年12月,Zymeworks的现金为3.74亿美元,没有债务。去年,其现金消耗为1.22亿美元。这意味着截至2023年12月,它的现金流约为3.1年。毫无疑问,这是一条长得令人放心的跑道。您可以在下图中看到其现金余额如何随着时间的推移而变化。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:ZYME Debt to Equity History May 3rd 2024
NASDAQGS: Zyme 债转股历史记录 2024 年 5 月 3 日

Is Zymeworks' Revenue Growing?

Zymeworks 的收入在增长吗?

Given that Zymeworks actually had positive free cash flow last year, before burning cash this year, we'll focus on its operating revenue to get a measure of the business trajectory. The bad news for shareholders is that operating revenue actually plummeted 82% in the last year, which is a real concern in our view. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

鉴于Zymeworks去年实际上有正的自由现金流,在今年消耗现金之前,我们将重点关注其营业收入以衡量业务轨迹。对股东来说,坏消息是,去年的营业收入实际上下降了82%,在我们看来,这确实是一个令人担忧的问题。但是,显然,关键因素是该公司未来是否会发展其业务。因此,你可能想看看该公司在未来几年预计将增长多少。

Can Zymeworks Raise More Cash Easily?

Zymeworks 能否轻松筹集更多现金?

Given its problematic fall in revenue, Zymeworks shareholders should consider how the company could fund its growth, if it turns out it needs more cash. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

鉴于其收入下降存在问题,如果事实证明公司需要更多现金,Zymeworks的股东应考虑如何为其增长提供资金。发行新股或承担债务是上市公司为其业务筹集更多资金的最常见方式。许多公司最终发行新股以资助未来的增长。通过将公司的年度现金消耗与其总市值进行比较,我们可以大致估计该公司必须发行多少股才能再经营一年(以相同的消耗率)。

Zymeworks has a market capitalisation of US$635m and burnt through US$122m last year, which is 19% of the company's market value. Given that situation, it's fair to say the company wouldn't have much trouble raising more cash for growth, but shareholders would be somewhat diluted.

Zymeworks的市值为6.35亿美元,去年突破了1.22亿美元,占该公司市值的19%。鉴于这种情况,可以公平地说,该公司筹集更多现金以促进增长不会遇到太大麻烦,但股东会受到一定程度的削弱。

How Risky Is Zymeworks' Cash Burn Situation?

Zymeworks 的现金消耗情况有多危险?

Even though its falling revenue makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Zymeworks' cash runway was relatively promising. While we're the kind of investors who are always a bit concerned about the risks involved with cash burning companies, the metrics we have discussed in this article leave us relatively comfortable about Zymeworks' situation. An in-depth examination of risks revealed 2 warning signs for Zymeworks that readers should think about before committing capital to this stock.

尽管其收入下降使我们有些紧张,但我们不得不提到,我们认为Zymeworks的现金流相对乐观。虽然我们是那种总是有点担心现金消耗公司所涉及的风险的投资者,但我们在本文中讨论的指标使我们对Zymeworks的情况相对满意。对风险的深入研究显示,Zymeworks有两个警告信号,读者在向该股票投入资金之前应考虑这些信号。

Of course Zymeworks may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

当然,Zymeworks可能不是最值得购买的股票。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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