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Shareholders Can Be Confident That Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd's (SHSE:603536) Earnings Are High Quality

Shareholders Can Be Confident That Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd's (SHSE:603536) Earnings Are High Quality

股东们可以确信山东汇发食品有限公司(SHSE: 603536)的收益是高质量的
Simply Wall St ·  05/02 18:50

The subdued stock price reaction suggests that Shandong Huifa Foodstuff Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603536) strong earnings didn't offer any surprises. Our analysis suggests that investors might be missing some promising details.

疲软的股价反应表明,山东汇发食品有限公司, Ltd. 's(上海证券交易所代码:603536)的强劲收益并不令人意外。我们的分析表明,投资者可能遗漏了一些令人鼓舞的细节。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603536 Earnings and Revenue History May 2nd 2024
SHSE: 603536 收益和收入历史记录 2024 年 5 月 2 日

Examining Cashflow Against Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd's Earnings

根据山东汇发食品有限公司的收益检查现金流

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

正如金融迷已经知道的那样,现金流的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与利润匹配程度的关键指标。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果其应计比率为正,则是一件坏事。虽然正应计比率表明非现金利润达到一定水平不是问题,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司将来的利润往往会降低”。

Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd has an accrual ratio of -0.16 for the year to March 2024. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥147m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥20.0m. Notably, Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd had negative free cash flow last year, so the CN¥147m it produced this year was a welcome improvement. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2024年3月的一年中,山东汇发食品有限公司的应计比率为-0.16。这表明其自由现金流大大超过了其法定利润。换句话说,它在此期间产生了1.47亿元人民币的自由现金流,使其报告的2,000万元利润相形见绌。值得注意的是,山东汇发食品有限公司去年的自由现金流为负,因此其今年的1.47亿元人民币是一个可喜的改善。话虽如此,故事还有更多。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对山东汇发食品有限公司的资产负债表分析

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的物品如何影响利润?

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥9.6m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

尽管应计比率可能是个好兆头,但我们还注意到,在过去的十二个月中,价值960万元人民币的不寻常物品提振了山东汇发食品有限公司的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当不寻常的物品做出重大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎一些。我们统计了全球大多数上市公司的数字,不寻常的物品在自然界中很常见。考虑到这个名字,这并不奇怪。假设这些不寻常的项目在本年度不会再次出现,因此我们预计明年的利润将疲软(也就是说,在业务没有增长的情况下)。

Our Take On Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd's Profit Performance

我们对山东汇发食品有限公司盈利表现的看法

In conclusion, Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Considering the aforementioned, we think that Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd's profits are probably a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability; although we'd be confident in that conclusion if we saw a cleaner set of results. If you want to do dive deeper into Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

总之,山东汇发食品有限公司的应计比率表明其法定收益质量良好,但另一方面,利润是由不寻常的项目提振的。考虑到上述情况,我们认为山东汇发食品有限公司的利润可能合理地反映了其潜在的盈利能力;尽管如果我们看到更清晰的业绩,我们会对这一结论充满信心。如果你想更深入地了解山东汇发食品有限公司,你还需要研究它目前面临的风险。例如,山东汇发食品有限公司有两个警告标志(其中一个令人担忧),我们认为你应该知道。

Our examination of Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我们对山东汇发食品有限公司的审查侧重于某些可能使其收益看起来好于实际的因素。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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