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Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd (SHSE:601799) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd (SHSE:601799) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

常州星宇汽车照明系统有限公司(SHSE: 601799)的强劲利润可能掩盖了一些潜在问题
Simply Wall St ·  05/02 18:11

Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting Systems Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:601799) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.

常州星宇汽车照明系统有限公司, Ltd. 's(上海证券交易所代码:601799)健康的利润数字并没有让投资者感到意外。我们认为这是由于投资者将目光投向了法定利润之外并关注他们所看到的情况。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:601799 Earnings and Revenue History May 2nd 2024
SHSE: 601799 收益和收入历史记录 2024 年 5 月 2 日

Examining Cashflow Against Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd's Earnings

根据常州星宇汽车照明系统有限公司的收益检查现金流

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

用于衡量公司将其利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的情况的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少没有自由现金流的支持。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果其应计比率为正,则是一件坏事。虽然应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司将来的利润往往会降低”。

For the year to March 2024, Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.24. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥209m despite its profit of CN¥1.14b, mentioned above. We also note that Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥209m.

在截至2024年3月的一年中,常州星宇汽车照明系统有限公司的应计比率为0.24。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远低于其报告的利润。在过去的十二个月里,它实际上有 负面的 自由现金流,尽管利润为11.4亿元人民币,但流出量仍为2.09亿元人民币,如上所述。我们还注意到,常州星宇汽车照明系统有限公司去年的自由现金流实际上也是负的,因此我们可以理解股东是否被其2.09亿元人民币的流出所困扰。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

Our Take On Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd's Profit Performance

我们对常州星宇汽车照明系统有限公司盈利表现的看法

Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. The good news is that, its earnings per share increased by 31% in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd (1 is a bit concerning) you should be familiar with.

常州星宇汽车照明系统有限公司过去十二个月的应计比率表明现金转换率不理想,从我们对其收益的看法来看,这是负数。正因为如此,我们认为可能是常州星宇汽车照明系统有限公司的法定利润要好于其基础盈利能力。好消息是,其每股收益在去年增长了31%。当然,我们只是在分析其收益时才浮出水面;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报率等因素。有鉴于此,如果你想对公司进行更多分析,了解所涉及的风险至关重要。例如,我们已经确定了你应该熟悉的常州星宇汽车照明系统有限公司的两个警告标志(其中一个有点令人担忧)。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Changzhou Xingyu Automotive Lighting SystemsLtd's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

本报告仅研究了揭示常州星宇汽车照明系统有限公司利润性质的单一因素。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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