Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300641) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 342% share price jump in the last month. The annual gain comes to 292% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.1x, you may consider Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry as a stock not worth researching with its 5.9x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
What Does Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 10% decrease to the company's top line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 14% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry's P/S
The strong share price surge has lead to Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry's P/S soaring as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
The fact that Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Jiangsu Zhengdan Chemical Industry you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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