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Zhejiang Haisen Pharmaceutical's (SZSE:001367) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues

Zhejiang Haisen Pharmaceutical's (SZSE:001367) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues

浙江海森药业(SZSE:001367)的利润似乎存在质量问题
Simply Wall St ·  05/01 18:16

Zhejiang Haisen Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001367) just released a solid earnings report, and the stock displayed some strength. Despite this, our analysis suggests that there are some factors weakening the foundations of those good profit numbers.

浙江海森药业股份有限公司(SZSE:001367)刚刚发布了一份稳健的财报,该股表现出一定的走强。尽管如此,我们的分析表明,有一些因素削弱了这些良好利润数字的基础。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:001367 Earnings and Revenue History May 1st 2024
SZSE: 001367 2024 年 5 月 1 日的收益和收入历史记录

Examining Cashflow Against Zhejiang Haisen Pharmaceutical's Earnings

根据浙江海森制药的收益研究现金流

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高金融领域,用于衡量公司将申报的利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的效果的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以公司在此期间的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流的应计比率视为 “非FCF利润率”。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,而正应计比率是负数。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,总的来说,高应计率对短期利润来说是个坏兆头。

Zhejiang Haisen Pharmaceutical has an accrual ratio of 0.25 for the year to March 2024. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥36m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of CN¥113.1m. Zhejiang Haisen Pharmaceutical's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, but it may bounce back next year, since free cash flow is often more volatile than accounting profits.

截至2024年3月的一年中,浙江海森药业的应计比率为0.25。因此,我们可以推断出其自由现金流远不足以支付其法定利润。实际上,它去年的自由现金流为3600万元人民币,远低于其1.131亿元人民币的法定利润。去年,浙江海森药业的自由现金流实际上有所下降,但明年可能会反弹,因为自由现金流通常比会计利润更具波动性。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Zhejiang Haisen Pharmaceutical.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对浙江海森制药的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Zhejiang Haisen Pharmaceutical's Profit Performance

我们对浙江海森药业盈利表现的看法

Zhejiang Haisen Pharmaceutical's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Zhejiang Haisen Pharmaceutical's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But at least holders can take some solace from the 23% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Zhejiang Haisen Pharmaceutical you should know about.

浙江海森药业过去十二个月的应计比率表明现金转换率不理想,从我们对收益的看法来看,这是负数。因此,我们认为可能是浙江海森药业的法定利润要好于其基础盈利能力。但是,至少持有人可以从过去三年的每股收益每年增长23%中得到一些安慰。归根结底,如果你想正确地了解公司,必须考虑的不仅仅是上述因素。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。每家公司都有风险,我们发现了一个你应该知道的浙江海森药业的警告信号。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Zhejiang Haisen Pharmaceutical's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

今天,我们放大了单一数据点,以更好地了解浙江海森制药利润的性质。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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