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Amazon's GenAI Could Generate 'Multi-Billion Revenue Run-Rate': JPMorgan

Amazon's GenAI Could Generate 'Multi-Billion Revenue Run-Rate': JPMorgan

亚马逊的GenAI可以产生 “数十亿美元的收入运行率”:摩根大通
Benzinga ·  05/01 09:27

Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:AMZN) reported Q1 revenue of $143.3 billion, up 13% year-over-year, beating estimates. Earnings per share were 98 cents, recording a 25.64% surprise on the consensus of 82 cents.

亚马逊公司(纳斯达克股票代码:AMZN)公布的第一季度收入为1433亿美元,同比增长13%,超出预期。每股收益为98美分,比市场普遍预期的82美分高出25.64%。

The earnings beat was propelled by robust performance in AWS and its international business. AWS revenue growth surged to 17%, marking a significant acceleration.

盈利增长是由AWS及其国际业务的强劲表现推动的。AWS收入增长激增至17%,标志着大幅加速。

CEO Andy Jassy noted a strong start to the year, attributing it to customer experience improvements and financial results. He also mentioned that AWS's growth rate is reaccelerating, with AWS now being a $100-billion annual revenue run rate business.

首席执行官安迪·贾西指出,今年开局良好,这归因于客户体验的改善和财务业绩。他还提到,AWS的增长率正在重新加速,AWS现在的年收入增长率为1000亿美元。

Related: Amazon Q1 Earnings Highlights: Revenue Beat, EPS Beat, AWS Hits $100-Billion Annual Run Rate And More

相关信息:亚马逊第一季度收益亮点:收入超过预期、每股收益超过预期、AWS年运营率达到1000亿美元等

The Amazon Analyst

亚马逊分析师

JPMorgan analyst Doug Anmuth maintains an Overweight rating on Amazon stock. He raised his price target for Amazon stock from $225 to $240. This target is based on about 28 times the estimated 2025 free cash flow (FCF) of $86 billion, which equates to around 21 times the estimated 2026 FCF of $108 billion.

摩根大通分析师道格·安默斯维持对亚马逊股票的增持评级。他将亚马逊股票的目标股价从225美元上调至240美元。该目标基于2025年估计的860亿美元自由现金流(FCF)的28倍左右,相当于2026年估计的1080亿美元自由现金流的21倍左右。

The Amazon Thesis

亚马逊论文

Anmuth is doubling down on Amazon as he sees strong profit potential ahead, driven by accelerated growth in AWS and increasing demand for GenAI services.

在AWS加速增长和对GenAI服务需求增加的推动下,Anmuth认为未来有强劲的盈利潜力,因此正在加倍关注亚马逊。

Following Amazon's Q1 earnings report, Anmuth is particularly optimistic about the company's ability to expand its margins in both retail and cloud services.

继亚马逊发布第一季度财报之后,Anmuth对该公司扩大零售和云服务利润率的能力特别乐观。

Bullish On Capex Spends & Retail Margin Expansion

看好资本支出和零售利润率扩大

Despite plans to increase capital expenditures by 35% to $65 billion in 2024, Amazon aims to balance investments with improving operating margins. Anmuth believes that Amazon's scale and strong cash flow position allow for meaningful investments while expanding margins simultaneously. "There is healthy room for profitability improvement," he said.

尽管计划在2024年将资本支出增加35%,达到650亿美元,但亚马逊的目标是平衡投资与提高营业利润率。Anmuth认为,亚马逊的规模和强劲的现金流状况允许进行有意义的投资,同时扩大利润率。他说:“盈利能力还有不错的改善空间。”

Anmuth notes that Amazon's retail segment, excluding AWS, exhibited solid growth of 11.8% in Q1. He noted that the company "remains bullish on Retail margin expansion" pointing to 3 key drivers of efficiency:

Anmuth指出,亚马逊的零售板块(不包括AWS)在第一季度表现出11.8%的稳健增长。他指出,该公司 “仍然看好零售利润率的扩大”,指出了效率的三个关键驱动因素:

  1. improvements to inbound shipping
  2. inventory placement
  3. increased automation
  1. 入库配送的改进
  2. 库存放置
  3. 自动化程度提高

The company also expects Prime Video to become a profitable business on its own.

该公司还预计,Prime Video本身将成为一项有利可图的业务。

GenAI Momentum To Lead To A Multi-Billion-Dollar Run Rate

GenAI 势头将导致数十亿美元的运行率

AWS revenue growth accelerated in Q1, driven by increasing demand for cloud services and GenAI offerings. Going forward, Anmuth says, "AWS will meaningfully ramp AWS capex to capitalize on strong GenAI momentum." He pointed to tech infrastructure, datacenter capacity/power, silicon supply, networking equipment, and servers as key focus areas for this additional capex deployment.

受云服务和 GenAI 产品需求不断增长的推动,AWS 收入在第一季度加速增长。展望未来,Anmuth说:“AWS将有意义地增加AWS的资本支出,以利用GenAI的强劲势头。”他指出,技术基础设施、数据中心容量/功率、硅电源、网络设备和服务器是此次额外资本支出部署的关键重点领域。

Anmuth also estimates that GenAI services alone represent a "multi-billion-dollar revenue run-rate," indicating a significant revenue potential for Amazon.

Anmuth还估计,仅GenAI服务就代表着 “数十亿美元的收入增长率”,这表明亚马逊具有巨大的收入潜力。

JPMorgan's bullish outlook on Amazon reflects confidence in the company's ability to continue its growth trajectory while improving profitability. With a strong focus on cloud services and AI monetization, Amazon seems poised for further expansion in the coming years.

摩根大通对亚马逊的看涨前景反映了人们对该公司在提高盈利能力的同时继续保持增长轨迹的能力的信心。凭借对云服务和人工智能货币化的高度关注,亚马逊似乎准备在未来几年进一步扩张。

AMZN Price Action: Amazon's stock closed lower by 3.29% on Tuesday. However, the company reported an earnings beat post-market on Tuesday at $175.00. The stock was trading up by about 3.8% at $181.90 during the premarket session Wednesday.

亚马逊价格走势:亚马逊股价周二收盘下跌3.29%。但是,该公司周二公布的收益超过盘后175.00美元。在周三的盘前交易中,该股上涨了约3.8%,至181.90美元。

Photo: Shutterstock

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