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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Winnebago Industries, Inc. (NYSE:WGO)?

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Winnebago Industries, Inc. (NYSE:WGO)?

股票下跌和财务状况良好:市场对温尼巴哥工业公司(纽约证券交易所代码:WGO)的看法错误吗?
Simply Wall St ·  05/01 06:03

It is hard to get excited after looking at Winnebago Industries' (NYSE:WGO) recent performance, when its stock has declined 17% over the past month. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Winnebago Industries' ROE today.

看了温尼巴哥工业公司(纽约证券交易所代码:WGO)最近的表现,很难感到兴奋,当时其股票在过去一个月中下跌了17%。但是,从长远来看,股票价格通常由公司的财务状况驱动,在这种情况下,这看起来相当可观。特别是,我们今天将关注温尼巴哥工业的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

股本回报率或投资回报率是用于评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。换句话说,它是衡量公司股东提供的资本回报率的盈利比率。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Winnebago Industries is:

因此,根据上述公式,温尼巴哥工业的投资回报率为:

8.8% = US$116m ÷ US$1.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to February 2024).

8.8% = 1.16亿美元 ÷ 13亿美元(基于截至2024年2月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each $1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made $0.09 in profit.

“回报” 是指公司去年的收益。对此进行概念化的一种方法是,该公司每拥有1美元的股东资本,就能获得0.09美元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率衡量的是公司创造利润的效率。然后,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力,具体取决于公司对这些利润进行再投资或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。假设其他一切保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

Winnebago Industries' Earnings Growth And 8.8% ROE

Winnebago Industries的收益增长和8.8%的投资回报率

When you first look at it, Winnebago Industries' ROE doesn't look that attractive. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 19%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. In spite of this, Winnebago Industries was able to grow its net income considerably, at a rate of 20% in the last five years. So, there might be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

当你第一次看时,温尼巴哥工业的投资回报率看起来并不那么有吸引力。接下来,与19%的行业平均投资回报率相比,该公司的投资回报率使我们感到不那么热情。尽管如此,Winnebago Industries还是得以大幅增长其净收入,在过去五年中增长了20%。因此,可能还有其他方面对公司的收益增长产生积极影响。例如,该公司的派息率很低或管理得很高效。

We then performed a comparison between Winnebago Industries' net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 22% in the same 5-year period.

然后,我们将Winnebago Industries的净收入增长与该行业进行了比较,结果显示该公司的增长与5年同期22%的行业平均增长率相似。

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:WGO Past Earnings Growth May 1st 2024
纽约证券交易所:WGO过去的收益增长 2024年5月1日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Has the market priced in the future outlook for WGO? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水,还是沼泽的水域在等着你。市场对WGO的未来展望进行了定价吗?你可以在我们最新的内在价值信息图研究报告中找到答案。

Is Winnebago Industries Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Winnebago Industries 是否有效地将其利润再投资?

Winnebago Industries' three-year median payout ratio to shareholders is 7.3%, which is quite low. This implies that the company is retaining 93% of its profits. So it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business and this reflects in its earnings growth number.

Winnebago Industries的三年股东派息率中位数为7.3%,相当低。这意味着该公司保留了93%的利润。因此,管理层似乎正在将利润大量再投资以发展业务,这反映在其收益增长数字上。

Moreover, Winnebago Industries is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 14% over the next three years. However, Winnebago Industries' future ROE is expected to rise to 18% despite the expected increase in the company's payout ratio. We infer that there could be other factors that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company's ROE.

此外,Winnebago Industries决心继续与股东分享利润,这是我们从其支付股息至少十年的悠久历史中推断出来的。从目前的分析师共识数据来看,我们可以看到,该公司的未来派息率预计将在未来三年内升至14%。但是,尽管温尼巴哥工业公司的派息率预计将提高,但该公司的未来投资回报率预计将升至18%。我们推断,可能还有其他因素可以推动公司投资回报率的预期增长。

Conclusion

结论

In total, it does look like Winnebago Industries has some positive aspects to its business. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总的来说,Winnebago Industries的业务看起来确实有一些积极的方面。尽管投资回报率很低,但由于再投资率很高,该公司的收益实现了可观的增长。话虽如此,从分析师目前的估计来看,我们发现该公司的收益有望增强。要了解有关公司未来收益增长预测的更多信息,请查看这份关于分析师预测的免费报告,以了解更多信息。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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