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We Think That There Are More Issues For Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling (SZSE:301500) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

We Think That There Are More Issues For Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling (SZSE:301500) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

我们认为,广东肥南资源回收公司(深交所股票代码:301500)面临的问题不仅仅是收益疲软
Simply Wall St ·  04/30 20:18

Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling Co., Ltd's (SZSE:301500) lackluster earnings announcement last week disappointed investors. We think that they may have more to worry about than just soft profit numbers.

广东飞南资源回收股份有限公司(深交所股票代码:301500)上周公布的业绩乏善可陈,令投资者失望。我们认为,他们可能需要担心的不仅仅是疲软的利润数字。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:301500 Earnings and Revenue History May 1st 2024
SZSE: 301500 收益和收入历史记录 2024 年 5 月 1 日

A Closer Look At Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling's Earnings

仔细看看广东飞南资源回收的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

许多投资者尚未听说过现金流的应计比率,但它实际上是衡量公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利润的有用指标。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,负的应计比率对公司来说是正数,而正的应计比率是负数。尽管应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司未来的利润往往会降低”。

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling recorded an accrual ratio of 0.35. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥180.1m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥2.2b in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥2.2b, this year, indicates high risk. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

在截至2023年12月的十二个月中,广东肥南资源回收的应计比率为0.35。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流大大低于其法定利润,这引发了人们对该利润数字到底有多有用的质疑。尽管该公司报告的利润为1.801亿元人民币,但从自由现金流来看,它实际上在去年消耗了22亿元人民币。在去年自由现金流为负的背景下,我们想象一些股东可能会怀疑其今年22亿元人民币的现金消耗是否表明存在高风险。但是,这还不是要考虑的全部。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对广东飞南资源回收的资产负债表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不寻常物品对利润的影响

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥56m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

该公司去年有不寻常的项目将利润提高了5600万元人民币,这一事实可能在某种程度上可以解释其应计比率为何如此疲软。我们不能否认更高的利润通常会让我们感到乐观,但如果利润是可持续的,我们更愿意这样做。当我们计算数千家上市公司的数字时,我们发现,特定年份中不寻常的项目所带来的提振通常不会在第二年重演。考虑到这个名字,这并不奇怪。如果广东肥南资源回收没有看到这种捐款重演,那么在其他条件相同的情况下,我们预计其本年度的利润将下降。

Our Take On Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling's Profit Performance

我们对广东飞南资源回收利润表现的看法

Summing up, Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. If you'd like to know more about Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that Guangdong Feinan Resources Recycling has 4 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore them.

总而言之,广东飞南资源回收利用不寻常的物品获得了不错的利润提振,但其纸面利润无法与自由现金流相提并论。考虑到所有这些,我们认为广东肥南资源回收的利润可能给人一种对其可持续盈利水平的过于宽松的印象。如果您想进一步了解广东肥南资源回收作为一家企业,请务必了解其面临的任何风险。在进行分析时,我们发现广东肥南资源回收有4个警告标志,忽视它们是不明智的。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在这篇文章中,我们研究了许多可能损害利润数字效用的因素,我们采取了谨慎的态度。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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