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Kunshan Asia Aroma Corp., Ltd. (SZSE:301220) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

Kunshan Asia Aroma Corp., Ltd. (SZSE:301220) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

昆山亚洲香料股份有限公司(SZSE: 301220)走势强劲,但基本面似乎喜忧参半:该股有明确的方向吗?
Simply Wall St ·  04/30 19:58

Kunshan Asia Aroma's (SZSE:301220) stock is up by a considerable 19% over the past week. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. In this article, we decided to focus on Kunshan Asia Aroma's ROE.

昆山亚洲香精公司(深圳证券交易所代码:301220)的股票在过去一周上涨了19%。但是该公司的关键财务指标似乎各不相同,这使我们质疑该公司目前的股价势头是否可以维持。在这篇文章中,我们决定重点关注昆山亚洲香精的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回报率或投资回报率是股东需要考虑的重要因素,因为它可以告诉他们资本再投资的有效性。简而言之,它用于评估公司相对于其股权资本的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回报率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Kunshan Asia Aroma is:

因此,根据上述公式,昆山亚洲香精的投资回报率为:

4.8% = CN¥76m ÷ CN¥1.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

4.8% = 7600万元人民币 ÷ 16亿元人民币(基于截至2024年3月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的利润。将其概念化的一种方法是,公司每拥有1元人民币的股东资本,公司就会获得0.05元人民币的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。现在,我们需要评估公司再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润以用于未来的增长,从而使我们对公司的增长潜力有所了解。假设其他条件都一样,与功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常具有更高的增长率。

Kunshan Asia Aroma's Earnings Growth And 4.8% ROE

昆山亚洲香料的收益增长和4.8%的投资回报率

It is quite clear that Kunshan Asia Aroma's ROE is rather low. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 6.3%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Thus, the low net income growth of 2.9% seen by Kunshan Asia Aroma over the past five years could probably be the result of it having a lower ROE.

很明显,昆山亚洲香精的投资回报率相当低。不仅如此,即使与6.3%的行业平均水平相比,该公司的投资回报率也完全不引人注目。因此,昆山亚洲香料公司在过去五年中实现了2.9%的低净收入增长,可能是其投资回报率较低的结果。

As a next step, we compared Kunshan Asia Aroma's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 8.8% in the same period.

下一步,我们将昆山亚洲香精的净收入增长与该行业的净收入增长进行了比较,并失望地看到该公司的增长低于同期8.8%的行业平均增长。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:301220 Past Earnings Growth April 30th 2024
SZSE: 301220 过去的收益增长 2024 年 4 月 30 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Kunshan Asia Aroma fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水还是沼泽水域在等着呢。与其他公司相比,昆山亚洲香精的估值是否合理?这3种估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Kunshan Asia Aroma Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

昆山亚洲香料是否有效地使用了其留存收益?

Kunshan Asia Aroma has a low three-year median payout ratio of 19% (meaning, the company keeps the remaining 81% of profits) which means that the company is retaining more of its earnings. However, the low earnings growth number doesn't reflect this fact. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

昆山亚洲香料公司的三年派息率中位数较低,为19%(这意味着该公司保留了剩余的81%的利润),这意味着该公司保留了更多的收益。但是,低收入增长数字并不能反映这一事实。因此,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用,这些因素可能会阻碍增长。例如,该业务面临一些阻力。

Additionally, Kunshan Asia Aroma started paying a dividend only recently. So it looks like the management must have perceived that shareholders favor dividends over earnings growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to drop to 8.6% over the next three years. Accordingly, the expected drop in the payout ratio explains the expected increase in the company's ROE to 11%, over the same period.

此外,昆山亚洲香料公司直到最近才开始派发股息。因此,看来管理层一定已经意识到股东偏爱股息而不是收益增长。我们最新的分析师数据显示,该公司的未来派息率预计将在未来三年降至8.6%。因此,派息率的预期下降解释了该公司同期的投资回报率预计将增长至11%。

Conclusion

结论

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Kunshan Asia Aroma's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总的来说,我们对昆山亚洲香精的表现有点矛盾。尽管鉴于投资回报率低,它似乎保留了大部分利润,但投资者毕竟可能无法从所有这些再投资中受益。低收入增长表明我们的理论是正确的。既然如此,分析师的最新预测显示,该公司的收益将继续扩大。这些分析师的预期是基于对该行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击此处进入我们分析师对公司的预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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