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Soho Holly's (SHSE:600128) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Soho Holly's (SHSE:600128) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Soho Holly(SHSE: 600128)的低迷收益可能仅仅是问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  04/29 23:18

Soho Holly Corporation's (SHSE:600128) recent weak earnings report didn't cause a big stock movement. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.

Soho Holly Corporation(上海证券交易所股票代码:600128)最近疲软的收益报告并未导致股市大幅波动。我们认为,投资者担心收益背后的一些弱点。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:600128 Earnings and Revenue History April 30th 2024
SHSE: 600128 2024 年 4 月 30 日的收益和收入历史记录

A Closer Look At Soho Holly's Earnings

仔细看看 Soho Holly 的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

用于衡量公司将其利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的情况的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间内公司的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流的应计比率视为 “非FCF利润率”。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,负的应计比率对公司来说是正数,而正的应计比率是负数。尽管应计比率为正(表明非现金利润达到一定水平)不是问题,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸质利润与现金流不匹配。那是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长放缓。

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Soho Holly recorded an accrual ratio of -0.12. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥272m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥32.6m. Given that Soho Holly had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of CN¥272m would seem to be a step in the right direction. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2023年12月的十二个月中,Soho Holly的应计比率为-0.12。因此,其法定收入远远低于其自由现金流。换句话说,它在此期间产生的自由现金流为2.72亿元人民币,与其报告的3,260万元人民币利润相形见绌。鉴于Soho Holly在前一同期的自由现金流为负,过去十二个月的2.72亿元人民币的业绩似乎是朝着正确方向迈出的一步。话虽如此,故事还有更多。应计比率至少部分反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Soho Holly.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对Soho Holly的资产负债表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不寻常物品对利润的影响

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Soho Holly's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥7.6m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Soho Holly's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to December 2023. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

尽管应计比率可能是个好兆头,但我们还注意到,在过去的十二个月中,价值760万元人民币的不寻常物品提振了Soho Holly的利润。我们不能否认更高的利润通常会让我们感到乐观,但如果利润是可持续的,我们更愿意这样做。当我们计算数千家上市公司的数字时,我们发现,特定年份中不寻常的项目所带来的提振通常不会在第二年重演。考虑到这个名字,这并不奇怪。我们可以看到,相对于截至2023年12月的一年中,Soho Holly的正面不寻常项目相对于其利润相当可观。因此,我们可以推测,这些不寻常的物品使其法定利润明显高于原来的水平。

Our Take On Soho Holly's Profit Performance

我们对Soho Holly盈利表现的看法

Soho Holly's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Based on these factors, we think it's very unlikely that Soho Holly's statutory profits make it seem much weaker than it is. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Soho Holly.

不寻常的项目提振了Soho Holly的利润,这表明这些利润可能无法持续下去,但其应计比率仍然显示出稳健的现金转换,这令人鼓舞。基于这些因素,我们认为Soho Holly的法定利润不太可能使其看起来比现在疲软得多。请记住,在分析股票时,值得注意所涉及的风险。例如,我们发现了 1 个警告标志,为了更好地了解 Soho Holly,你应该把视线移过去。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在这篇文章中,我们研究了许多可能损害利润数字效用的因素,以此作为企业的指南。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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