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Sichuan Energy Investment Development's (HKG:1713) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations

Sichuan Energy Investment Development's (HKG:1713) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations

四川能源投资发展(HKG: 1713)的稳健收益可能建立在基础薄弱的基础上
Simply Wall St ·  04/29 18:06

Sichuan Energy Investment Development Co., Ltd.'s (HKG:1713) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. However the statutory profit number doesn't tell the whole story, and we have found some factors which might be of concern to shareholders.

四川能源投资开发有限公司 's(HKG: 1713)健康的利润数字并没有让投资者感到意外。但是,法定利润数字并不能说明全部情况,我们发现了一些可能引起股东关注的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1713 Earnings and Revenue History April 29th 2024
SEHK: 1713 2024 年 4 月 29 日的收益和收入记录

Zooming In On Sichuan Energy Investment Development's Earnings

放大四川能源投资开发公司的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

许多投资者还没有听说过现金流的应计比率,但它实际上是衡量公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利润的有用指标。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少没有自由现金流的支持。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,正应计比率是负数。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司未来的利润往往较低”。

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Sichuan Energy Investment Development recorded an accrual ratio of 0.27. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥339.0m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥489m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥489m, this year, indicates high risk.

在截至2023年12月的十二个月中,四川能源投资开发的应计比率为0.27。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流大大低于其法定利润,这并不是一件好事。尽管该公司报告的利润为3.39亿元人民币,但从自由现金流来看,它实际上在去年消耗了4.89亿元人民币。在去年自由现金流为负的背景下,我们想象一些股东可能会怀疑其今年4.89亿元人民币的现金消耗是否表明存在高风险。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Sichuan Energy Investment Development.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对四川能源投资开发的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Sichuan Energy Investment Development's Profit Performance

我们对四川能源投资开发公司盈利表现的看法

Sichuan Energy Investment Development didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Sichuan Energy Investment Development's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 32% over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Sichuan Energy Investment Development at this point in time. Be aware that Sichuan Energy Investment Development is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those can't be ignored...

去年,四川能源投资开发公司没有将其大部分利润转化为自由现金流,一些投资者可能认为这种情况相当不理想。正因为如此,我们认为四川能源投资开发的法定利润可能好于其基础盈利能力。尽管如此,仍然值得注意的是,其每股收益在过去三年中增长了32%。当然,我们只是在分析其收益时才浮出水面;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报率等因素。因此,尽管收益质量很重要,但考虑四川能源投资发展目前面临的风险同样重要。请注意,四川能源投资发展在我们的投资分析中显示出两个警告信号,其中一个不容忽视...

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Sichuan Energy Investment Development's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

今天,我们放大了单一数据点,以更好地了解四川能源投资开发公司利润的性质。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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