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Investors in Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ) Have Unfortunately Lost 8.0% Over the Last Year

Investors in Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ) Have Unfortunately Lost 8.0% Over the Last Year

不幸的是,强生(纽约证券交易所代码:JNJ)的投资者在过去一年中损失了8.0%
Simply Wall St ·  04/28 09:44

It's easy to match the overall market return by buying an index fund. But if you buy individual stocks, you can do both better or worse than that. Unfortunately the Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ) share price slid 11% over twelve months. That's well below the market return of 24%. Zooming out, the stock is down 10% in the last three years.

通过购买指数基金很容易匹配整体市场回报。但是,如果你买入个股,你的表现可能比这更好或更差。不幸的是,强生公司(纽约证券交易所代码:JNJ)的股价在十二个月内下跌了11%。这远低于24%的市场回报率。展望未来,该股在过去三年中下跌了10%。

So let's have a look and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

因此,让我们来看看公司的长期表现是否与基础业务的进展一致。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:从短期来看,市场是一台投票机器,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

During the unfortunate twelve months during which the Johnson & Johnson share price fell, it actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 58%. It's quite possible that growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

在强生股价下跌的不幸十二个月中,其每股收益(EPS)实际上增长了58%。过去的增长预期很可能不合理。

The divergence between the EPS and the share price is quite notable, during the year. So it's well worth checking out some other metrics, too.

在这一年中,每股收益和股价之间的差异非常明显。因此,也值得查看其他一些指标。

On the other hand, we're certainly perturbed by the 11% decline in Johnson & Johnson's revenue. Many investors see falling revenue as a likely precursor to lower earnings, so this could well explain the weak share price.

另一方面,强生公司的收入下降了11%,这无疑使我们感到不安。许多投资者认为,收入下降可能是收益下降的先兆,因此这很可以解释股价疲软的原因。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收入和收入随时间推移的跟踪情况(如果您点击图片,可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:JNJ Earnings and Revenue Growth April 28th 2024
纽约证券交易所:JNJ收益和收入增长 2024年4月28日

Johnson & Johnson is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

强生是一家知名股票,分析师报道丰富,这表明未来增长有一定的可见性。因此,我们建议您查看这份显示共识预测的免费报告

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Johnson & Johnson the TSR over the last 1 year was -8.0%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。我们注意到,强生公司过去一年的股东总回报率为-8.0%,好于上述股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market gained around 24% in the last year, Johnson & Johnson shareholders lost 8.0% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 3%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Johnson & Johnson .

尽管去年整体市场上涨了约24%,但强生公司的股东损失了8.0%(甚至包括股息)。即使是优质股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望在过于感兴趣之前看到企业基本指标的改善。长期投资者不会那么沮丧,因为他们本可以在五年内每年赚3%。如果基本面数据继续显示长期可持续增长,那么当前的抛售可能是一个值得考虑的机会。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。为此,你应该注意我们在强生公司发现的1个警告信号。

Of course Johnson & Johnson may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然,强生可能不是最好的买入股票。因此,您可能希望看到这批免费的成长股。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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