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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Copa Holdings, S.A. (NYSE:CPA)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Copa Holdings, S.A. (NYSE:CPA)?

股票下跌和基本面稳健:Copa Holdings, S.A.(纽约证券交易所代码:CPA)的市场错误吗?
Simply Wall St ·  04/28 09:09

With its stock down 5.0% over the past month, it is easy to disregard Copa Holdings (NYSE:CPA). However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. In this article, we decided to focus on Copa Holdings' ROE.

由于其股价在过去一个月中下跌了5.0%,很容易忽视Copa Holdings(纽约证券交易所代码:CPA)。但是,仔细观察其良好的财务状况可能会让你重新考虑。鉴于基本面通常会推动长期市场业绩,因此该公司值得关注。在本文中,我们决定重点关注Copa Holdings的投资回报率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。简而言之,投资回报率显示了每美元从其股东投资中产生的利润。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回报率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Copa Holdings is:

因此,根据上述公式,Copa Holdings的投资回报率为:

24% = US$518m ÷ US$2.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

24% = 5.18亿美元 ÷ 21亿美元(基于截至2023年12月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.24 in profit.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的利润。另一种思考方式是,每持有价值1美元的股权,该公司就能获得0.24美元的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长之间有什么关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。假设其他条件都一样,与功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常具有更高的增长率。

Copa Holdings' Earnings Growth And 24% ROE

Copa Holdings的收益增长和24%的投资回报率

First thing first, we like that Copa Holdings has an impressive ROE. Second, a comparison with the average ROE reported by the industry of 14% also doesn't go unnoticed by us. Under the circumstances, Copa Holdings' considerable five year net income growth of 34% was to be expected.

首先,我们喜欢Copa Holdings的投资回报率令人印象深刻。其次,与该行业报告的平均投资回报率为14%的比较也不会被我们忽视。在这种情况下,Copa Holdings的五年净收入可观增长34%,这是意料之中的。

We then compared Copa Holdings' net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 6.2% in the same 5-year period.

然后,我们将Copa Holdings的净收入增长与该行业进行了比较,我们很高兴地看到,与该行业相比,该公司的增长数字更高,同期同期增长率为6.2%。

past-earnings-growth
NYSE:CPA Past Earnings Growth April 28th 2024
纽约证券交易所:CPA过去的收益增长 2024年4月28日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is CPA worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether CPA is currently mispriced by the market.

收益增长是对股票进行估值时要考虑的重要指标。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是面向光明还是暗淡的未来。今天的注册会计师值多少钱?我们的免费研究报告中的内在价值信息图有助于直观地了解市场目前是否对CPA进行了错误的定价。

Is Copa Holdings Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Copa Holdings是否有效地将其利润再投资?

The LTM (or last twelve month) payout ratio for Copa Holdings is 25%, which is moderately low. The company is retaining the remaining 75%. So it seems that Copa Holdings is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees impressive growth in its earnings (discussed above) and pays a dividend that's well covered.

Copa Holdings的LTM(或过去十二个月)的派息率为25%,略低。该公司保留了剩余的75%。因此,看来Copa Holdings正在高效地进行再投资,其收益实现了可观的增长(如上所述),并支付的股息覆盖范围广。

Moreover, Copa Holdings is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 34% over the next three years. However, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much despite the higher expected payout ratio.

此外,Copa Holdings决心继续与股东分享利润,这是我们从其支付股息至少十年的长期历史中推断出来的。从目前的分析师共识数据来看,我们可以看出,该公司的未来派息率预计将在未来三年内升至34%。但是,尽管预期的派息率较高,但该公司的投资回报率预计不会有太大变化。

Conclusion

结论

In total, we are pretty happy with Copa Holdings' performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总的来说,我们对Copa Holdings的表现非常满意。特别是,我们喜欢该公司对其业务进行大量再投资,而且回报率很高。毫不奇怪,这带来了令人印象深刻的收益增长。话虽如此,正如分析师目前的估计所预测的那样,该公司的收益增长预计将放缓。这些分析师的预期是基于对该行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击此处进入我们分析师对公司的预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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