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Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd. Just Missed Revenue By 16%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd. Just Missed Revenue By 16%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

山东玲珑轮胎有限公司, Ltd. 的收入刚刚下降了16%:以下是分析师认为接下来会发生的事情
Simply Wall St ·  04/26 20:31

Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:601966) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 7.3% to CN¥22.52 in the week after its latest quarterly results. Revenues were CN¥5.0b, 16% below analyst expectations, although losses didn't appear to worsen significantly, with a statutory per-share loss of CN¥0.95 being in line with what the analysts anticipated. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

山东玲珑轮胎有限公司, Ltd.(上海证券交易所股票代码:601966)的股东可能会感到有些失望,因为其股价在公布最新季度业绩后的一周内下跌了7.3%,至22.52元人民币。收入为50亿元人民币,比分析师的预期低16%,尽管亏损似乎没有显著恶化,0.95元人民币的法定每股亏损符合分析师的预期。对于投资者来说,这是一个重要时刻,因为他们可以在报告中追踪公司的业绩,看看专家对明年的预测,看看对该业务的预期是否有任何变化。因此,我们收集了最新的财报后法定共识估计,以了解明年可能会发生什么。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:601966 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 27th 2024
SHSE: 601966 收益和收入增长 2024 年 4 月 27 日

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Shandong Linglong TyreLtd's nine analysts is for revenues of CN¥25.1b in 2024. This reflects a substantial 21% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to soar 34% to CN¥1.48. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥25.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.43 in 2024. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.

考虑到最新业绩,山东玲珑轮胎有限公司的九位分析师的共识预测是,2024年的收入为251亿元人民币。这反映了与过去12个月相比,收入大幅增长了21%。预计每股法定收益将飙升34%,至1.48元人民币。然而,在最新财报公布之前,分析师曾预计2024年的收入为254亿元人民币,每股收益(EPS)为1.43元人民币。从他们新的每股收益估计来看,分析师似乎对该业务变得更加看好。

There's been no major changes to the consensus price target of CN¥30.82, suggesting that the improved earnings per share outlook is not enough to have a long-term positive impact on the stock's valuation. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. There are some variant perceptions on Shandong Linglong TyreLtd, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥35.50 and the most bearish at CN¥27.10 per share. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.

30.82元人民币的共识目标股价没有重大变化,这表明每股收益前景的改善不足以对股票估值产生长期的积极影响。但是,还有另一种思考价格目标的方法,那就是研究分析师提出的价格目标范围,因为范围广泛的估计可能表明,对业务可能的结果有不同的看法。对山东玲珑轮胎有一些不同的看法,最看涨的分析师将其估值为35.50元人民币,最看跌的为每股27.10元人民币。估计值的狭窄差异可能表明该业务的未来相对容易估值,或者分析师对其前景有强烈的看法。

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that Shandong Linglong TyreLtd's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 29% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 2.7% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 18% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Shandong Linglong TyreLtd to grow faster than the wider industry.

现在从大局来看,我们理解这些预测的方法之一是了解它们与过去的业绩和行业增长估计相比如何。从最新估计中可以明显看出,山东玲珑轮胎的增长率预计将大幅加快,预计到2024年底的年化收入增长率为29%,将明显快于其过去五年2.7%的历史年增长率。相比之下,同行业的其他公司预计收入每年将增长18%。显而易见,尽管增长前景比最近更加光明,但分析师也预计,山东玲珑轮胎有限公司的增长速度将超过整个行业。

The Bottom Line

底线

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Shandong Linglong TyreLtd's earnings potential next year. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CN¥30.82, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

对我们来说,最大的收获是共识的每股收益上调,这表明围绕山东玲珑轮胎明年盈利潜力的情绪将明显改善。幸运的是,他们还再次确认了收入数字,表明收入符合预期。此外,我们的数据表明,收入的增长速度预计将快于整个行业。共识目标股价稳定在30.82元人民币,最新估计不足以对其目标股价产生影响。

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Shandong Linglong TyreLtd. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Shandong Linglong TyreLtd going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

考虑到这一点,我们不会很快就山东玲珑轮胎得出结论。长期盈利能力比明年的利润重要得多。在Simply Wall St,我们有分析师对山东玲珑轮胎到2026年的全方位估计,你可以在我们的平台上免费查看。

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Shandong Linglong TyreLtd that you need to take into consideration.

还值得注意的是,我们发现了山东玲珑轮胎的1个警告标志,你需要考虑。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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