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Is Blueprint Medicines (NASDAQ:BPMC) A Risky Investment?

Is Blueprint Medicines (NASDAQ:BPMC) A Risky Investment?

Blueprint Medicines(纳斯达克股票代码:BPMC)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  04/26 10:08

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Blueprint Medicines Corporation (NASDAQ:BPMC) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

大卫·伊本说得好,他说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们注意到,蓝图药品公司(纳斯达克股票代码:BPMC)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Blueprint Medicines's Net Debt?

Blueprint Medicines 的净负债是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2023 Blueprint Medicines had US$680.4m of debt, an increase on US$569.4m, over one year. But it also has US$710.6m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$30.2m net cash.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年12月,Blueprint Medicines在一年内有6.804亿美元的债务,比5.694亿美元有所增加。但它也有7.106亿美元的现金可以抵消这一点,这意味着它的净现金为3,020万美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:BPMC Debt to Equity History April 26th 2024
NASDAQGS: BPMC 债券与股本的比率历史记录 2024 年 4 月 26 日

A Look At Blueprint Medicines' Liabilities

看看蓝图药品的负债

The latest balance sheet data shows that Blueprint Medicines had liabilities of US$214.9m due within a year, and liabilities of US$703.7m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$710.6m and US$43.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$164.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,Blueprint Medicines的负债为2.149亿美元,此后到期的负债为7.037亿美元。另一方面,它有7.106亿美元的现金和价值4,320万美元的应收账款将在一年内到期。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多出1.648亿美元。

Since publicly traded Blueprint Medicines shares are worth a total of US$5.56b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Blueprint Medicines also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Blueprint Medicines's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

由于上市的Blueprint Medicines股票总价值为55.6亿美元,因此这种负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。但是,我们确实认为值得关注其资产负债表的实力,因为它可能会随着时间的推移而发生变化。尽管它确实有值得注意的负债,但Blueprint Medicines的现金也多于债务,因此我们非常有信心它可以安全地管理债务。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,未来的收益将决定Blueprint Medicines未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

In the last year Blueprint Medicines wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 22%, to US$249m. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

去年,Blueprint Medicines在息税前利润水平上没有盈利,但其收入增长了22%,达到2.49亿美元。股东们可能对它能够实现盈利抱有疑虑。

So How Risky Is Blueprint Medicines?

那么蓝图药物的风险有多大?

By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And in the last year Blueprint Medicines had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told. Indeed, in that time it burnt through US$453m of cash and made a loss of US$507m. But at least it has US$30.2m on the balance sheet to spend on growth, near-term. With very solid revenue growth in the last year, Blueprint Medicines may be on a path to profitability. By investing before those profits, shareholders take on more risk in the hope of bigger rewards. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Blueprint Medicines that you should be aware of before investing here.

就其本质而言,亏损的公司比盈利历史悠久的公司风险更大。说实话,去年Blueprint Medicines出现了息税前收益(EBIT)亏损。事实上,在那段时间里,它烧毁了4.53亿美元的现金,损失了5.07亿美元。但至少在短期内,它的资产负债表上有3,020万美元可用于增长。由于去年的收入增长非常稳健,Blueprint Medicines可能正在走上盈利之路。通过在这些利润之前进行投资,股东会承担更大的风险,希望获得更大的回报。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,我们发现了 Blueprint Medicines 的两个警告信号,在投资之前,你应该注意这两个警告。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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