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Here's Why Cheniere Energy (NYSE:LNG) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why Cheniere Energy (NYSE:LNG) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

这就是Cheniere Energy(纽约证券交易所代码:LNG)可以负责任地管理债务的原因
Simply Wall St ·  04/26 08:36

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Cheniere Energy, Inc. (NYSE:LNG) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

有人说,波动性,而不是债务,是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。与许多其他公司一样,切尼尔能源公司(纽约证券交易所代码:LNG)也使用债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业无法还清贷方,那么债务就任其摆布。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能一无所有地离开。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东,这样才能控制债务。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面后果。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Cheniere Energy's Debt?

Cheniere Energy的债务是什么?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Cheniere Energy had US$23.7b of debt in December 2023, down from US$24.9b, one year before. On the flip side, it has US$4.16b in cash leading to net debt of about US$19.5b.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示切尼尔能源在2023年12月有237亿美元的债务,低于一年前的249亿美元。另一方面,它拥有41.6亿美元的现金,净负债约为195亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:LNG Debt to Equity History April 26th 2024
纽约证券交易所:液化天然气债权益比率历史记录 2024 年 4 月 26 日

How Healthy Is Cheniere Energy's Balance Sheet?

Cheniere Energy 的资产负债表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Cheniere Energy had liabilities of US$3.89b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$30.2b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$4.16b and US$1.11b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$28.8b.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,Cheniere Energy的负债为38.9亿美元,在此之后到期的负债为302亿美元。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为41.6亿美元,还有价值11.1亿美元的应收账款。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额288亿美元。

This deficit is considerable relative to its very significant market capitalization of US$36.8b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Cheniere Energy's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

与其368亿美元的巨大市值相比,这一赤字相当可观,因此这确实表明股东应密切关注Cheniere Energy的债务使用情况。如果其贷款人要求其支撑资产负债表,股东可能会面临严重的稀释。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我们使用两个主要比率来告知我们相对于收益的债务水平。第一个是净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),第二个是其利息和税前收益(EBIT)覆盖其利息支出(或简称利息保障)的多少倍。这种方法的优势在于,我们既考虑了债务的绝对数量(包括净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润),也考虑了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(及其利息覆盖率)。

Cheniere Energy's net debt is only 1.2 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 16.7 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Better yet, Cheniere Energy grew its EBIT by 245% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Cheniere Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

切尼尔能源的净负债仅为其息税折旧摊销前利润的1.2倍。其息税前利润可支付其高达16.7倍的利息支出。因此,你可以争辩说,它受到债务的威胁并不比大象受到老鼠的威胁更大。更好的是,Cheniere Energy去年的息税前利润增长了245%,这是一个令人印象深刻的改善。如果这种增长得以维持,将使未来几年的债务更加易于管理。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定Cheniere Energy能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last two years, Cheniere Energy produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 75% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。因此,值得检查一下息税前利润中有多少是由自由现金流支持的。在过去的两年中,Cheniere Energy产生了稳健的自由现金流,相当于其息税前利润的75%,与我们的预期差不多。这种冷硬现金意味着它可以在需要时减少债务。

Our View

我们的观点

The good news is that Cheniere Energy's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Cheniere Energy is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Cheniere Energy (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

好消息是,Cheniere Energy表现出的用息税前利润支付利息支出的能力使我们感到高兴,就像毛茸茸的小狗对待幼儿一样。但是,更悲观的是,我们对其总负债水平有点担忧。当我们考虑上述一系列因素时,Cheniere Energy使用债务似乎相当明智。尽管这带来了一些风险,但也可以提高股东的回报。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有,我们已经发现了 Cheniere Energy 的 2 个警告信号(其中 1 个很重要!)你应该知道。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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