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We Think S.A.S. Dragon Holdings' (HKG:1184) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

We Think S.A.S. Dragon Holdings' (HKG:1184) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative

我们认为 S.A.S. Dragon Holdings (HKG: 1184) 的健康收益可能是保守的
Simply Wall St ·  04/25 19:04

The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from S.A.S. Dragon Holdings Limited (HKG:1184) despite the healthy numbers. We did some digging, and we think that investors are missing some encouraging factors in the underlying numbers.

尽管数据良好,但上周S.A.S. Dragon Holdings Limited(HKG: 1184)公布的财报似乎令市场不知所措。我们进行了一些挖掘,我们认为投资者在基础数据中遗漏了一些令人鼓舞的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:1184 Earnings and Revenue History April 25th 2024
SEHK: 1184 2024 年 4 月 25 日的收益和收入记录

A Closer Look At S.A.S. Dragon Holdings' Earnings

仔细观察 S.A.S. Dragon Holdings 的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高级财务中,用于衡量公司将报告的利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间内公司的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果其应计比率为正,则是一件坏事。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司将来的利润往往会降低”。

S.A.S. Dragon Holdings has an accrual ratio of -0.24 for the year to December 2023. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of HK$1.0b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of HK$403.8m. S.A.S. Dragon Holdings shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2023年12月的一年中,S.A.S. Dragon Holdings的应计比率为-0.24。因此,其法定收入大大低于其自由现金流。实际上,它去年的自由现金流为10亿港元,远远超过其4.038亿港元的法定利润。毫无疑问,S.A.S. Dragon Holdings的股东对自由现金流在过去十二个月中有所改善感到高兴。但是,这还不是要考虑的全部。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of S.A.S. Dragon Holdings.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对S.A.S. Dragon Holdings的资产负债表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不寻常物品对利润的影响

S.A.S. Dragon Holdings' profit was reduced by unusual items worth HK$87m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. This is what you'd expect to see where a company has a non-cash charge reducing paper profits. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect S.A.S. Dragon Holdings to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

在过去的十二个月中,S.A.S. Dragon Holdings的利润因价值8700万港元的不寻常物品而减少,这有助于其实现高现金转化率,其不寻常的项目就反映了这一点。这就是你所期望看到的公司的非现金费用会减少纸面利润的情况。看到不寻常的项目使公司利润损失从来都不是一件好事,但从好的方面来看,情况可能迟早会好转。我们调查了数千家上市公司,发现不寻常的物品本质上往往是一次性的。而且,毕竟,这正是会计术语的含义。假设这些不寻常的支出不会再次出现,因此,我们预计S.A.S. Dragon Holdings在其他条件相同的情况下,明年将实现更高的利润。

Our Take On S.A.S. Dragon Holdings' Profit Performance

我们对S.A.S. Dragon Holdings盈利表现的看法

In conclusion, both S.A.S. Dragon Holdings' accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings are probably reasonably conservative. Based on these factors, we think S.A.S. Dragon Holdings' underlying earnings potential is as good as, or probably even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for S.A.S. Dragon Holdings and you'll want to know about it.

总之,S.A.S. Dragon Holdings的应计比率及其不寻常的项目都表明,其法定收益可能相当保守。基于这些因素,我们认为S.A.S. Dragon Holdings的潜在盈利潜力与法定利润看上去一样好,甚至可能更好!有鉴于此,如果你想对公司进行更多分析,了解所涉及的风险至关重要。你可能会有兴趣知道,我们发现了 S.A.S. Dragon Holdings 的 1 个警告标志,你会想知道的。

After our examination into the nature of S.A.S. Dragon Holdings' profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在我们研究了S.A.S. Dragon Holdings的利润性质之后,我们对该公司持乐观态度。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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