share_log

We Think Eastern Air Logistics (SHSE:601156) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Eastern Air Logistics (SHSE:601156) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为东方航空物流(SHSE: 601156)可以继续偿还债务
Simply Wall St ·  04/24 19:30

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Eastern Air Logistics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601156) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

大卫·伊本说得好,他说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。重要的是,东方航空物流有限公司(SHSE: 601156)确实有债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务可以帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是新资本还是自由现金流。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。考虑公司的债务水平的第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。

How Much Debt Does Eastern Air Logistics Carry?

东方航空物流背负了多少债务?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2023, Eastern Air Logistics had CN¥2.34b of debt, up from CN¥557.9m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥9.24b in cash, so it actually has CN¥6.90b net cash.

如下所示,截至2023年12月底,东方航空物流的债务为23.4亿元人民币,高于去年同期的5.579亿元人民币。点击图片了解更多详情。但是,其资产负债表显示其持有92.4亿元人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有69.0亿元人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601156 Debt to Equity History April 24th 2024
SHSE: 601156 2024 年 4 月 24 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Healthy Is Eastern Air Logistics' Balance Sheet?

东方航空物流的资产负债表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Eastern Air Logistics had liabilities of CN¥5.57b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥6.20b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥9.24b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.95b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥575.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,东方航空物流的负债为557亿元人民币,一年后到期的负债为62.0亿元人民币。除这些债务外,它有92.4亿元人民币的现金以及价值19.5亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收账款的总和多出5.752亿元人民币。

Having regard to Eastern Air Logistics' size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥28.9b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Eastern Air Logistics boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

考虑到东方航空物流的规模,其流动资产与总负债的平衡似乎良好。因此,这家289亿元人民币的公司现金短缺的可能性很小,但仍然值得关注资产负债表。尽管负债巨大,但东方航空物流拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

In fact Eastern Air Logistics's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 30% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Eastern Air Logistics's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

实际上,东方航空物流的救命之处在于其低债务水平,因为其息税前利润在过去十二个月中下降了30%。当一家公司看到盈利下降时,它有时会发现与贷款机构的关系恶化。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,未来的收益比什么都重要,将决定东方航空物流未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Eastern Air Logistics has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Eastern Air Logistics recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 92% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。尽管东方航空物流的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在过去三年中,东方航空物流记录的自由现金流相当于其息税前利润的92%,比我们通常预期的要强。这使其在偿还债务方面处于非常有利的地位。

Summing Up

总结

We could understand if investors are concerned about Eastern Air Logistics's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥6.90b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥4.7b, being 92% of its EBIT. So we don't have any problem with Eastern Air Logistics's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Eastern Air Logistics .

我们可以理解投资者是否担心东方航空物流的负债,但它的净现金为690亿元人民币,这一事实可以使我们放心。它以47亿元人民币的自由现金流给我们留下了深刻的印象,占其息税前利润的92%。因此,我们对东方航空物流使用债务没有任何问题。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。为此,您应该注意我们在东方航空物流中发现的 1 个警告标志。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发