share_log

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Shougang Fushan Resources Group Limited (HKG:639)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Shougang Fushan Resources Group Limited (HKG:639)?

股票下跌和基本面稳健:市场对首钢富山资源集团有限公司(HKG: 639)的看法错误吗?
Simply Wall St ·  04/24 18:51

With its stock down 9.9% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Shougang Fushan Resources Group (HKG:639). However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shougang Fushan Resources Group's ROE today.

首钢富山资源集团(HKG: 639)的股票在过去三个月中下跌了9.9%,这很容易被忽视。但是,仔细观察其良好的财务状况可能会让你重新考虑。鉴于基本面通常会推动长期市场业绩,因此该公司值得关注。特别是,我们今天将关注首钢富山资源集团的投资回报率。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回报率或投资回报率是股东需要考虑的重要因素,因为它可以告诉他们资本再投资的有效性。简而言之,它用于评估公司相对于其股权资本的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shougang Fushan Resources Group is:

因此,根据上述公式,首钢富山资源集团的投资回报率为:

12% = HK$2.3b ÷ HK$18b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

12% = 23亿港元 ÷ 180亿港元(基于截至2023年12月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every HK$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of HK$0.12.

“回报” 是企业在过去一年中获得的收入。因此,这意味着股东每投资1港元,公司就会产生0.12港元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。然后,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力,具体取决于公司对这些利润进行再投资或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。假设其他一切保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of Shougang Fushan Resources Group's Earnings Growth And 12% ROE

首钢富山资源集团的收益增长和12%的投资回报率的并排比较

To begin with, Shougang Fushan Resources Group seems to have a respectable ROE. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 9.8% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. Probably as a result of this, Shougang Fushan Resources Group was able to see an impressive net income growth of 22% over the last five years. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

首先,首钢富山资源集团的投资回报率似乎不错。与9.8%的行业平均投资回报率相比,该公司的投资回报率看起来相当可观。可能正因为如此,首钢富山资源集团在过去五年中实现了令人印象深刻的22%的净收入增长。我们认为,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用。例如,该公司的派息率很低或管理得很高效。

We then compared Shougang Fushan Resources Group's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 17% in the same 5-year period.

然后,我们将首钢富山资源集团的净收入增长与该行业进行了比较,我们很高兴地看到,与同期5年同期增长率为17%的行业相比,该公司的增长数字更高。

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:639 Past Earnings Growth April 24th 2024
SEHK: 639 过去的收益增长 2024 年 4 月 24 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. What is 639 worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether 639 is currently mispriced by the market.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。这样做将帮助他们确定股票的未来是乐观还是不祥的。今天的639值多少钱?我们的免费研究报告中的内在价值信息图有助于可视化639目前是否被市场定价错误。

Is Shougang Fushan Resources Group Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

首钢富山资源集团是否正在有效利用其利润?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 77% (implying that it keeps only 23% of profits) for Shougang Fushan Resources Group suggests that the company's growth wasn't really hampered despite it returning most of the earnings to its shareholders.

首钢富山资源集团三年来最高的派息率中位数为77%(这意味着它仅保留了23%的利润),这表明尽管该公司将大部分收益返还给了股东,但其增长并没有真正受到阻碍。

Moreover, Shougang Fushan Resources Group is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 47% over the next three years. However, Shougang Fushan Resources Group's future ROE is expected to decline to 7.9% despite the expected decline in its payout ratio. We infer that there could be other factors that could be steering the foreseen decline in the company's ROE.

此外,首钢富山资源集团决心继续与股东分享利润,这是我们从其支付股息至少十年的悠久历史中推断出来的。在研究了分析师的最新共识数据后,我们发现该公司的未来派息率预计将在未来三年降至47%。但是,尽管预计首钢富山资源集团的派息率将下降,但其未来的投资回报率预计将降至7.9%。我们推断,可能还有其他因素可能导致公司投资回报率的预期下降。

Summary

摘要

Overall, we are quite pleased with Shougang Fushan Resources Group's performance. Especially the high ROE, Which has contributed to the impressive growth seen in earnings. Despite the company reinvesting only a small portion of its profits, it still has managed to grow its earnings so that is appreciable. With that said, on studying the latest analyst forecasts, we found that while the company has seen growth in its past earnings, analysts expect its future earnings to shrink. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总体而言,我们对首钢富山资源集团的表现感到非常满意。尤其是高投资回报率,这为收益的惊人增长做出了贡献。尽管该公司仅将利润的一小部分再投资,但它仍然设法增加了收益,因此这是可观的。话虽如此,在研究最新的分析师预测时,我们发现,尽管该公司过去的收益有所增长,但分析师预计其未来收益将萎缩。要了解有关公司未来收益增长预测的更多信息,请查看这份关于分析师预测的免费报告,以了解更多信息。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发