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We Think That There Are More Issues For ChinaEtek Service & Technology (SZSE:301208) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

We Think That There Are More Issues For ChinaEtek Service & Technology (SZSE:301208) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

我们认为,ChinaeTek Service & Technology(深圳证券交易所代码:301208)面临的问题不仅仅是收益疲软
Simply Wall St ·  04/23 18:31

The subdued market reaction suggests that ChinaEtek Service & Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301208) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

疲软的市场反应表明,ChinaeTek服务与技术有限公司。”s(深圳证券交易所代码:301208)最近的收益没有任何意外。但是,我们认为,投资者应注意一些可能令人担忧的潜在因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:301208 Earnings and Revenue History April 23rd 2024
SZSE: 301208 2024 年 4 月 23 日的收益和收入历史记录

A Closer Look At ChinaEtek Service & Technology's Earnings

仔细研究ChinaeTek服务与科技的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

正如金融迷已经知道的那样,现金流的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与利润匹配程度的关键指标。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间内公司的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流的应计比率视为 “非FCF利润率”。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果其应计比率为正,则是一件坏事。虽然应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司将来的利润往往会降低”。

ChinaEtek Service & Technology has an accrual ratio of 0.56 for the year to March 2024. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥136m despite its profit of CN¥139.0m, mentioned above. We saw that FCF was CN¥75m a year ago though, so ChinaEtek Service & Technology has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

截至2024年3月的一年中,ChinaeTek Service & Technology的应计比率为0.56。通常,这对未来的盈利能力来说是个坏兆头。事实上,在此期间,该公司没有产生任何自由现金流。在过去的十二个月里,它实际上有 负面的 自由现金流,尽管利润为1.39亿元人民币,但流出量仍为1.36亿元人民币,如上所述。但是,我们看到一年前的FCF为7500万元人民币,因此ChinaeTek服务与技术在过去至少能够产生正的FCF。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of ChinaEtek Service & Technology.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对ChinaeTek服务与技术的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On ChinaEtek Service & Technology's Profit Performance

我们对ChinaeTek服务与科技盈利表现的看法

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that ChinaEtek Service & Technology didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that ChinaEtek Service & Technology's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 9.7% over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for ChinaEtek Service & Technology you should be mindful of and 1 of these bad boys is a bit concerning.

正如我们已经明确指出的那样,我们有点担心ChinaeTek服务与技术没有用自由现金流来支持去年的利润。出于这个原因,我们认为ChinaeTek Service & Technology的法定利润可能不利于其潜在盈利能力,并可能给投资者留下过于积极的公司印象。尽管如此,仍然值得注意的是,其每股收益在过去三年中增长了9.7%。当然,我们只是在分析其收益时才浮出水面;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报率等因素。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。一个很好的例子:我们已经发现了你应该注意的3个ChinaeTek服务与技术的警告信号,其中一个坏孩子有点令人担忧。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of ChinaEtek Service & Technology's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

本报告仅研究了揭示ChinaeTek服务与技术利润性质的单一因素。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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