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Is Weakness In Otter Tail Corporation (NASDAQ:OTTR) Stock A Sign That The Market Could Be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

Is Weakness In Otter Tail Corporation (NASDAQ:OTTR) Stock A Sign That The Market Could Be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

鉴于其强劲的财务前景,Otter Tail Corporation(纳斯达克股票代码:OTTR)股票的疲软是否表明市场可能出错?
Simply Wall St ·  04/22 09:12

With its stock down 4.0% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Otter Tail (NASDAQ:OTTR). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Specifically, we decided to study Otter Tail's ROE in this article.

由于其股价在过去三个月中下跌了4.0%,很容易忽视Otter Tail(纳斯达克股票代码:OTTR)。但是,股票价格通常由公司的长期财务业绩驱动,在这种情况下,这看起来很有希望。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究 Otter Tail 的 ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

股本回报率或投资回报率是用于评估公司管理层利用公司资本效率的关键指标。换句话说,它是衡量公司股东提供的资本回报率的盈利比率。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回报率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Otter Tail is:

因此,根据上述公式,Otter Tail的投资回报率为:

20% = US$294m ÷ US$1.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

20% = 2.94亿美元 ÷ 14亿美元(基于截至2023年12月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.20 in profit.

“回报” 是指公司去年的收益。另一种思考方式是,公司每持有价值1美元的股权,就能获得0.20美元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率衡量的是公司创造利润的效率。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

Otter Tail's Earnings Growth And 20% ROE

Otter Tail 的收益增长和 20% 的投资回报率

To start with, Otter Tail's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 9.0% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. Probably as a result of this, Otter Tail was able to see an impressive net income growth of 32% over the last five years. We believe that there might also be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

首先,Otter Tail 的投资回报率看起来可以接受。特别是与行业平均水平的9.0%相比,该公司的投资回报率看起来相当可观。可能是由于这个原因,Otter Tail在过去五年中实现了令人印象深刻的32%的净收入增长。我们认为,可能还有其他方面对公司的收益增长产生积极影响。例如,该公司的派息率较低或管理效率很高。

We then compared Otter Tail's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 5.4% in the same 5-year period.

然后,我们将Otter Tail的净收入增长与该行业进行了比较,我们很高兴地看到,与同期5年同期增长率为5.4%的行业相比,该公司的增长数字更高。

past-earnings-growth
NasdaqGS:OTTR Past Earnings Growth April 22nd 2024
纳斯达克GS:OTTR 过去的收益增长 2024 年 4 月 22 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Otter Tail's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水还是沼泽水域在等着呢。如果你想知道Otter Tail的估值,可以看看这个衡量其市盈率与行业相比的指标。

Is Otter Tail Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Otter Tail 能否有效地将其利润再投资?

Otter Tail has a three-year median payout ratio of 26% (where it is retaining 74% of its income) which is not too low or not too high. So it seems that Otter Tail is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees impressive growth in its earnings (discussed above) and pays a dividend that's well covered.

Otter Tail的三年派息率中位数为26%(保留了收入的74%),既不太低也不会太高。因此,Otter Tail似乎正在高效地进行再投资,其收益增长令人印象深刻(如上所述),并支付的股息覆盖范围广。

Moreover, Otter Tail is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 54% over the next three years. Consequently, the higher expected payout ratio explains the decline in the company's expected ROE (to 12%) over the same period.

此外,Otter Tail决心继续与股东分享利润,这是我们从其支付股息至少十年的悠久历史中推断出来的。从目前的分析师共识数据来看,我们可以看到,该公司的未来派息率预计将在未来三年内升至54%。因此,较高的预期派息率解释了公司同期预期的投资回报率(至12%)的下降。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we are quite pleased with Otter Tail's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. That being so, according to the latest industry analyst forecasts, the company's earnings are expected to shrink in the future. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

总的来说,我们对 Otter Tail 的表现非常满意。特别是,我们喜欢该公司对其业务进行大量再投资,而且回报率很高。毫不奇怪,这带来了令人印象深刻的收益增长。既然如此,根据最新的行业分析师预测,该公司的收益预计将在未来萎缩。要了解有关公司未来收益增长预测的更多信息,请查看这份关于分析师预测的免费报告,以了解更多信息。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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