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Shaanxi Huaqin Technology Industry Co.,Ltd. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Shaanxi Huaqin Technology Industry Co.,Ltd. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

陕西华勤科技实业有限公司, Ltd. 刚刚错过了收益——但分析师已经更新了他们的模型
Simply Wall St ·  04/20 21:48

Shaanxi Huaqin Technology Industry Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688281) just released its latest annual report and things are not looking great. It wasn't a great result overall - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at CN¥917m, statutory earnings missed forecasts by an incredible 28%, coming in at just CN¥2.41 per share. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

陕西华勤科技实业有限公司, Ltd.(上海证券交易所代码:688281)刚刚发布了最新的年度报告,但情况看起来并不乐观。总体而言,这并不是一个好业绩——尽管收入略低于分析师预期的9.17亿元人民币,但法定收益未达到预期的28%,每股收益仅为2.41元人民币。根据结果,分析师更新了他们的盈利模式,很高兴知道他们是否认为公司的前景发生了巨大变化,或者业务是否照旧。根据这些结果,我们收集了最新的法定预测,以了解分析师是否改变了盈利模式。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:688281 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 21st 2024
SHSE: 688281 2024 年 4 月 21 日收益和收入增长

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd's five analysts is for revenues of CN¥1.19b in 2024. This would reflect a huge 30% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to surge 74% to CN¥4.20. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥1.21b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥4.21 in 2024. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

考虑到最新业绩,陕西华勤科技工业有限公司的五位分析师目前的共识是,2024年的收入为11.9亿元人民币。这将反映其收入在过去12个月中大幅增长了30%。预计每股法定收益将增长74%,至4.20元人民币。然而,在最新财报公布之前,分析师曾预计2024年的收入为12.1亿元人民币,每股收益(EPS)为4.21元人民币。因此,很明显,尽管分析师已经更新了估计,但在最新业绩公布后,对该业务的预期没有重大变化。

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at CN¥176. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd analyst has a price target of CN¥196 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at CN¥142. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

因此,得知共识目标股价基本保持不变为176元人民币也就不足为奇了。研究分析师的估计范围,评估异常值与平均值的差异程度也可能很有启发性。最乐观的陕西华勤科技工业有限公司分析师将目标股价定为每股196元人民币,而最悲观的分析师则将其估值为142元人民币。这表明估值仍然存在一点差异,但分析师似乎对该股的看法并不完全分歧,好像这可能是成功或失败一样。

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd'shistorical trends, as the 30% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 is roughly in line with the 30% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 16% annually. So although Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

了解这些预测的更多背景信息的一种方法是研究它们与过去的业绩相比如何,以及同一行业中其他公司的表现。我们可以从最新的估计中推断,预测预计陕西华勤科技工业有限公司的历史趋势将延续,因为到2024年底的30%的年化收入增长与过去五年30%的年增长大致一致。相比之下,分析师估计(总计),整个行业的收入每年将增长16%。因此,尽管预计陕西华勤科技工业有限公司将保持其收入增长率,但其增长速度肯定会超过整个行业。

The Bottom Line

底线

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

要了解的最重要的一点是,市场情绪没有重大变化,分析师再次确认该业务的表现与他们先前的每股收益预期一致。幸运的是,他们还再次确认了收入数字,表明收入符合预期。此外,我们的数据表明,收入的增长速度预计将快于整个行业。共识目标股价没有实际变化,这表明该业务的内在价值与最新估计相比没有发生任何重大变化。

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

考虑到这一点,我们仍然认为该业务的长期发展轨迹对于投资者来说更为重要。多位陕西华勤科技工业有限公司分析师估计,到2026年,你可以在我们的平台上免费看到这些数据。

Before you take the next step you should know about the 1 warning sign for Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd that we have uncovered.

在你采取下一步行动之前,你应该了解一下我们发现的陕西华勤科技工业有限公司的1个警告标志。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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