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Those Who Invested in UMB Financial (NASDAQ:UMBF) a Year Ago Are up 43%

Those Who Invested in UMB Financial (NASDAQ:UMBF) a Year Ago Are up 43%

一年前投资UMB Financial(纳斯达克股票代码:UMBF)的人上涨了43%
Simply Wall St ·  04/20 10:04

The simplest way to invest in stocks is to buy exchange traded funds. But one can do better than that by picking better than average stocks (as part of a diversified portfolio). For example, the UMB Financial Corporation (NASDAQ:UMBF) share price is up 40% in the last 1 year, clearly besting the market return of around 20% (not including dividends). So that should have shareholders smiling. On the other hand, longer term shareholders have had a tougher run, with the stock falling 14% in three years.

投资股票的最简单方法是购买交易所交易基金。但是,通过选择比普通股更好的股票(作为多元化投资组合的一部分),可以做得比这更好。例如,UMB金融公司(纳斯达克股票代码:UMBF)的股价在过去1年中上涨了40%,显然超过了约20%(不包括股息)的市场回报率。因此,这应该让股东们微笑。另一方面,长期股东的表现更加艰难,该股在三年内下跌了14%。

So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

因此,让我们调查一下,看看公司的长期表现是否与基础业务的进展一致。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

虽然市场是一种强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者的情绪,而不仅仅是潜在的业务表现。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

Over the last twelve months, UMB Financial actually shrank its EPS by 19%.

在过去的十二个月中,UMB Financial实际上将其每股收益缩减了19%。

This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

这意味着市场不太可能根据收益增长来评判该公司。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化无关,因此值得一看其他指标。

We are skeptical of the suggestion that the 1.9% dividend yield would entice buyers to the stock. Revenue was pretty flat year on year, but maybe a closer look at the data can explain the market optimism.

我们对1.9%的股息收益率会吸引买家购买该股的说法持怀疑态度。收入同比持平,但仔细研究数据也许可以解释市场的乐观情绪。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:UMBF Earnings and Revenue Growth April 20th 2024
纳斯达克GS:UMBF收益和收入增长 2024年4月20日

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on UMB Financial

我们认为,内部人士在去年进行了大量收购,这是积极的。话虽如此,大多数人认为收益和收入增长趋势是更有意义的业务指南。这份显示分析师预测的免费报告应该可以帮助您对UMB Financial形成看法

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, UMB Financial's TSR for the last 1 year was 43%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股价回报率外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报率(TSR)。基于股息再投资的假设,股东总回报率纳入了任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。碰巧的是,UMB Financial过去1年的股东总回报率为43%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。因此,该公司支付的股息提高了 股东回报。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

We're pleased to report that UMB Financial shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 43% over one year. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 5% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with UMB Financial .

我们很高兴地向大家报告,UMB Financial的股东在一年内获得了43%的总股东回报率。这确实包括股息。这比五年来5%的年化回报率要好,这意味着该公司最近的表现更好。持乐观态度的人可能会将最近股东总回报率的改善视为业务本身随着时间的推移而变得更好。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。为此,你应该注意我们在UMB Financial中发现的1个警告信号。

UMB Financial is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

UMB Financial并不是内部人士唯一买入的股票。对于那些喜欢寻找获利投资的人来说,这份最近有内幕收购的成长型公司的免费清单可能就是入场券。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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