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Here's Why Edison International (NYSE:EIX) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

Here's Why Edison International (NYSE:EIX) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

这就是爱迪生国际(纽约证券交易所代码:EIX)受到债务负担压力的原因
Simply Wall St ·  04/18 07:53

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Edison International (NYSE:EIX) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。重要的是,爱迪生国际(纽约证券交易所代码:EIX)确实有债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务可以帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是新资本还是自由现金流。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常会看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以不良价格筹集资金。但是,通过取代稀释,对于需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业来说,债务可以成为一个非常好的工具。考虑公司的债务水平的第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。

What Is Edison International's Debt?

爱迪生国际的债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2023 Edison International had US$34.1b of debt, an increase on US$31.7b, over one year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年12月,爱迪生国际在一年内有341亿美元的债务,比317亿美元有所增加。而且它没有太多现金,因此其净负债大致相同。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:EIX Debt to Equity History April 18th 2024
纽约证券交易所:EIX 债券与股本比率的历史记录 2024 年 4 月 18 日

How Healthy Is Edison International's Balance Sheet?

爱迪生国际的资产负债表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Edison International had liabilities of US$8.60b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$55.2b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$345.0m in cash and US$2.76b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$60.7b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看出,爱迪生国际在12个月内到期的负债为86.0亿美元,此后到期的负债为552亿美元。与此相抵消的是,它有3.45亿美元的现金和27.6亿美元的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和高出607亿美元。

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$25.7b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Edison International would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

这笔赤字给这家价值257亿美元的公司蒙上了阴影,就像一个耸立在凡人之上的巨人。因此,毫无疑问,我们将密切关注其资产负债表。归根结底,如果其债权人要求还款,爱迪生国际可能需要进行大规模的资本重组。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

为了扩大公司相对于收益的负债规模,我们计算其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),将其利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。这种方法的优势在于,我们既考虑了债务的绝对数量(包括净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润),也考虑了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(及其利息覆盖率)。

Edison International shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.7), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 2.0 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. On a slightly more positive note, Edison International grew its EBIT at 13% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Edison International's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

由于息税前利润仅为利息支出的2.0倍,爱迪生国际的股东面临着净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润比率高(5.7)和利息覆盖率相当薄弱的双重打击。这意味着我们会认为它有沉重的债务负担。稍微乐观的一面是,爱迪生国际的息税前利润比去年增长了13%,进一步提高了其管理债务的能力。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,未来收益将决定爱迪生国际未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Edison International burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。因此,我们总是检查息税前利润中有多少转化为自由现金流。在过去的三年中,爱迪生国际烧掉了大量现金。尽管这可能是增长支出的结果,但它确实使债务风险大大增加。

Our View

我们的观点

To be frank both Edison International's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. We should also note that Electric Utilities industry companies like Edison International commonly do use debt without problems. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Edison International has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Edison International has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are concerning) we think you should know about.

坦率地说,爱迪生国际将息税前利润转换为自由现金流,以及其保持总负债水平的往绩都使我们对其债务水平感到相当不舒服。但至少它在增长息税前利润方面相当不错;这令人鼓舞。我们还应该注意,像爱迪生国际这样的电力公用事业行业公司通常会毫无问题地使用债务。在考虑了所讨论的数据点之后,我们认为爱迪生国际的债务过多。尽管有些投资者喜欢这种冒险的游戏,但这肯定不是我们的好选择。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,爱迪生国际有3个警告标志(其中2个令人担忧),我们认为你应该知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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