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Is WH Group (HKG:288) Using Too Much Debt?

Is WH Group (HKG:288) Using Too Much Debt?

万洲国际集团(HKG: 288)是否使用过多的债务?
Simply Wall St ·  04/17 20:46

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, WH Group Limited (HKG:288) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。重要的是,万洲国际集团有限公司(HKG: 288)确实有债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业发展的工具,但如果企业无法还清贷款人,那么债务就任由他们摆布。资本主义的重要组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 的过程,在这个过程中,倒闭的企业将被银行家无情地清算。但是,更常见(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面影响。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务。

What Is WH Group's Debt?

WH 集团的债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that WH Group had US$3.23b of debt in December 2023, down from US$3.37b, one year before. However, it also had US$1.71b in cash, and so its net debt is US$1.52b.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示万国集团在2023年12月的债务为32.3亿美元,低于一年前的33.7亿美元。但是,它也有17.1亿美元的现金,因此其净负债为152亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:288 Debt to Equity History April 18th 2024
SEHK: 288 2024 年 4 月 18 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

How Strong Is WH Group's Balance Sheet?

万洲国际集团的资产负债表有多强?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that WH Group had liabilities of US$4.66b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$3.95b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$1.71b as well as receivables valued at US$1.28b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$5.62b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,WH集团的负债为46.6亿美元,一年后到期的负债为39.5亿美元。除这些债务外,它有17.1亿美元的现金以及价值12.8亿美元的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和高出56.2亿美元。

This deficit isn't so bad because WH Group is worth US$9.79b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

这种赤字还不错,因为万洲国际集团的市值为97.9亿美元,因此,如果需要,可能会筹集足够的资金来支撑其资产负债表。但是,我们绝对希望留意其债务带来过大风险的迹象。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我们使用两个主要比率来告知我们相对于收益的债务水平。第一个是净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),第二个是其利息和税前收益(EBIT)覆盖其利息支出(或简称利息保障)的多少倍。这样,我们既考虑债务的绝对数量,也考虑为债务支付的利率。

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 1.2 and interest cover of 5.3 times, it seems to us that WH Group is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Importantly, WH Group's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 65% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if WH Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

从其净负债占息税折旧摊销前利润的1.2倍和利息覆盖率的5.3倍来看,在我们看来,万洲国际集团可能正在以相当合理的方式使用债务。因此,我们建议密切关注融资成本对业务的影响。重要的是,万洲国际集团的息税前利润在过去十二个月中下降了惊人的65%。如果这种盈利趋势继续下去,那么偿还债务就像放猫坐过山车一样容易。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但最终,该业务的未来盈利能力将决定万洲国际集团能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, WH Group recorded free cash flow worth 66% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。因此,合乎逻辑的步骤是研究息税前利润与实际自由现金流相匹配的比例。在最近三年中,万洲国际集团录得的自由现金流占其息税前利润的66%,鉴于自由现金流不包括利息和税收,这几乎是正常的。这种自由现金流使公司处于有利地位,可以在适当的时候偿还债务。

Our View

我们的观点

WH Group's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. But on the bright side, its ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow isn't too shabby at all. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think WH Group's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for WH Group that you should be aware of.

尽管我们考虑的其他因素使WH Group的息税前利润增长率明显好转,但根据该分析,WH Group的息税前利润增长率确实为负数。但好的一面是,它将息税前利润转换为自由现金流的能力一点也不差。综合上述因素,我们确实认为万洲国际集团的债务对业务构成了一些风险。因此,尽管这种杠杆率确实提高了股本回报率,但我们真的不希望看到它从现在开始增加。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。例如,我们已经确定了WH集团的3个警告信号,您应该注意这些信号。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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