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Does Deewin Tianxia (HKG:2418) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Does Deewin Tianxia (HKG:2418) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

德赢天下(HKG: 2418)的资产负债表是否良好?
Simply Wall St ·  04/16 21:51

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Deewin Tianxia Co., Ltd (HKG:2418) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。我们注意到,德赢天下有限公司(HKG: 2418)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务可以帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是新资本还是自由现金流。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。当然,债务可以成为企业的重要工具,尤其是资本密集型企业。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Deewin Tianxia's Debt?

Deewin Tianxia的债务是什么?

As you can see below, Deewin Tianxia had CN¥4.62b of debt, at December 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have CN¥1.09b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥3.53b.

如下所示,截至2023年12月,德赢天下拥有46.2亿元人民币的债务,与前一年大致相同。您可以单击图表以获取更多详细信息。但是,它确实有10.9亿加元的现金抵消了这一点,净负债约为35.3亿加元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2418 Debt to Equity History April 17th 2024
SEHK: 2418 2024 年 4 月 17 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

A Look At Deewin Tianxia's Liabilities

看看 Deewin Tianxia 的负债

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Deewin Tianxia had liabilities of CN¥5.15b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥735.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.09b as well as receivables valued at CN¥5.55b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥752.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,德赢天下在12个月内到期的负债为51.5亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为7.355亿元人民币。除这些债务外,它有10.9亿元人民币的现金以及价值55.5亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出7.528亿元人民币 负债。

It's good to see that Deewin Tianxia has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders.

很高兴看到Deewin Tianxia的资产负债表上有充足的流动性,这表明对负债的管理比较保守。由于其强大的净资产状况,它不太可能面临贷款人的问题。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我们使用两个主要比率来告知我们相对于收益的债务水平。第一个是净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),第二个是其利息和税前收益(EBIT)覆盖其利息支出(或简称利息保障)的多少倍。这种方法的优势在于,我们既考虑了债务的绝对数量(包括净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润),也考虑了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(及其利息覆盖率)。

Strangely Deewin Tianxia has a sky high EBITDA ratio of 14.6, implying high debt, but a strong interest coverage of 20.2. So either it has access to very cheap long term debt or that interest expense is going to grow! Shareholders should be aware that Deewin Tianxia's EBIT was down 23% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Deewin Tianxia will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

奇怪的是,Deewin Tianxia的息税折旧摊销前利润率居高不下,为14.6,这意味着债务过高,但利息覆盖率高达20.2。因此,要么它有机会获得非常便宜的长期债务,要么利息支出将增加!股东们应该意识到,德银天下去年的息税前利润下降了23%。如果这种盈利趋势继续下去,那么偿还债务就像放猫坐过山车一样容易。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为Deewin Tianxia需要收益来偿还债务。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Deewin Tianxia burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本无法减少债务。因此,合乎逻辑的步骤是研究息税前利润与实际自由现金流相匹配的比例。在过去的三年中,德赢天下烧掉了大量现金。尽管投资者无疑预计这种情况将在适当的时候逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。

Our View

我们的观点

Deewin Tianxia's EBIT growth rate and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Deewin Tianxia is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Deewin Tianxia (of which 2 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

在我们看来,Deewin Tianxia的息税前利润增长率以及将息税前利润转换为自由现金流无疑对其造成了压力。但好消息是,它似乎能够轻松地用息税前利润支付利息支出。当我们考虑所讨论的所有因素时,在我们看来,Deewin Tianxia在使用债务方面正在冒一些风险。因此,尽管这种杠杆率确实提高了股本回报率,但我们真的不希望看到它从现在开始增加。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现了 Deewin Tianxia 的 5 个警告标志(其中 2 个不容忽视!)你应该知道。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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