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Is Meitu (HKG:1357) A Risky Investment?

Is Meitu (HKG:1357) A Risky Investment?

美图(HKG: 1357)是风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  04/16 18:14

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Meitu, Inc. (HKG:1357) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

大卫·伊本说得好,他说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。与许多其他公司一样,美图公司(HKG: 1357)也使用债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务可以帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是新资本还是自由现金流。资本主义的组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 过程,在这种过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。但是,更频繁(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面影响。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Meitu's Net Debt?

美图的净负债是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2023, Meitu had CN¥149.6m of debt, up from CN¥10.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.31b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.16b net cash.

如下所示,截至2023年12月底,美图的债务为1.496亿元人民币,高于去年同期的1000万元人民币。点击图片查看更多细节。但是,其资产负债表显示其持有13.1亿元人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有11.6亿元人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1357 Debt to Equity History April 16th 2024
SEHK: 1357 2024 年 4 月 16 日债务与股本的比率记录

A Look At Meitu's Liabilities

看看美图的负债

The latest balance sheet data shows that Meitu had liabilities of CN¥1.26b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥389.1m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.31b and CN¥387.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥48.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,美图在一年内到期的负债为12.6亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为3.891亿元人民币。另一方面,它有一年内到期的13.1亿元现金和价值3.877亿元人民币的应收账款。所以它实际上有4,870万元人民币 更多 流动资产超过总负债。

This state of affairs indicates that Meitu's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥13.5b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Succinctly put, Meitu boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这种状况表明,美图的资产负债表看起来相当稳健,因为其总负债几乎等于其流动资产。因此,尽管很难想象这家135亿元人民币的公司正在为现金而苦苦挣扎,但我们仍然认为值得监控其资产负债表。简而言之,美图拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, Meitu turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of CN¥291m. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Meitu's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

同样令人高兴的是,尽管去年息税前利润额度出现亏损,但美图在过去12个月中扭转了局面,交付额和息税前利润为2.91亿元人民币。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,未来的收益将决定美图未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Meitu may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last year, Meitu actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。美图的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但看看该企业如何将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。去年,美图产生的自由现金流实际上超过了息税前利润。这种强劲的现金产生像穿着大黄蜂套装的小狗一样温暖着我们的心。

Summing Up

总结

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Meitu has net cash of CN¥1.16b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 124% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥361m. So we don't think Meitu's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Meitu is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

虽然我们同情那些认为债务令人担忧的投资者,但您应该记住,美图的净现金为11.6亿元人民币,流动资产比负债还多。最重要的是,它将息税前利润的124%转换为自由现金流,带来了3.61亿元人民币的收入。因此,我们认为美图使用债务没有风险。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。请注意,美图在我们的投资分析中显示了两个警告信号,您应该知道...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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