share_log

How Does The Stock Market Perform Ahead Of Tax Day? 'Rough' At First, Data Shows

How Does The Stock Market Perform Ahead Of Tax Day? 'Rough' At First, Data Shows

纳税日之前股市表现如何?数据显示,起初 “粗糙”
Benzinga ·  04/15 15:39

There are tons of interesting tidbits about Tax Day.

关于纳税日,有很多有趣的花絮。

According to the Internal Revenue Service (IRS):

根据美国国税局(IRS)的说法:

  • Officers answered more than one million taxpayer phone calls this season.
  • They processed over 100 million individual tax returns through April 6.
  • Tens of millions more filings will be made on the April 15 deadline.
  • About 19 million taxpayers will file extensions due Oct. 15.
  • More than $200 billion in refunds were already delivered.
  • The average refund was $3,011 — a 4.6% increase from last April's average of $2,878.
  • 官员们本季接听了超过一百万个纳税人的电话。
  • 截至4月6日,他们处理了超过1亿份个人纳税申报表。
  • 在4月15日的最后期限之前,还将提交数千万份申请。
  • 大约1900万纳税人将申请10月15日到期的延期。
  • 已经交付了超过2000亿美元的退款。
  • 平均退款额为3,011美元,较去年4月的平均退款2878美元增长了4.6%。

These numbers change yearly, but there's at least one fairly consistent Tax-Day trend: a jittery stock market.

这些数字每年都在变化,但至少有一个相当稳定的纳税日趋势:股市动荡不安。

According to Bankrate, citing data from S&P Global's Kensho unit, the first couple weeks of April are typically "rougher."

Bankrate援引标普全球Kensho部门的数据称,4月的前几周通常 “更加艰难”。

Many taxpayers will liquidate stocks or tap their money market funds to fulfill immediate cash requirements.

许多纳税人会清算股票或利用其货币市场资金来满足即时的现金需求。

And from 2000 to 2016, the S&P 500 Index declined an average 0.2% during the first two weeks before Tax Day.

从2000年到2016年,标准普尔500指数在纳税日前的前两周平均下跌了0.2%。

After Tax Day, it's a different scenario. The S&P 500 usually bounces back to finish April about 1.7% higher on average (climbing "an astonishing" 75% of the time, Bankrate notes).

纳税日之后,情况就不一样了。标准普尔500指数通常会在4月底反弹,平均上涨约1.7%(Bankrate指出,有75%的涨幅是 “惊人的”)。

Per Money.com, the S&P 500 index enjoyed an average gain of 0.83% in the week following the tax deadline from 1998 to 2022 (for 19 out of 25 years). The one-week median gain throughout the year is 0.31%.

根据Money.com的数据,标准普尔500指数在1998年至2022年纳税截止日期后的一周(25年中的19年)平均上涨0.83%。全年一周的涨幅中位数为0.31%。

In April, the market's overall impact is minimal. Investors would be wise to stick to their long-term investment strategy and prioritize contributing to tax-advantaged retirement accounts (i.e., 401k plans and IRAs).

4月,市场的整体影响微乎其微。投资者明智的做法是坚持长期投资策略,优先向税收优惠的退休账户(即401k计划和IRA账户)缴款。

Historically, the S&P 500 has yielded around 10 percent annual gains. The goal is to stay invested over time rather than attempting to time the market.

从历史上看,标准普尔500指数的年涨幅约为10%。目标是随着时间的推移继续投资,而不是试图把握市场时机。

Financial advisors typically suggest that their clients invest in S&P 500 index funds (see below) and remain focused on distant future outcomes rather than short-term fluctuations.

财务顾问通常建议他们的客户投资标普500指数基金(见下文),并继续关注遥远的未来业绩,而不是短期波动。

  • SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE:SPY)
  • iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (NYSE:IVV)
  • Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSE:VOO)
  • iShares S&P 500 Growth ETF (NYSE:IVW)
  • Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (NYSE:RSP)
  • SPDR 标普500指数ETF(纽约证券交易所代码:SPY)
  • iShares Core 标准普尔500指数ETF(纽约证券交易所代码:IVV)
  • Vanguard 标普500指数ETF(纽约证券交易所代码:VOO)
  • iShares 标普500指数成长型ETF(纽约证券交易所代码:IVW)
  • 景顺标普500指数等权重ETF(纽约证券交易所代码:RSP)

Yardeni Research president Ed Yardeni predicts the S&P 500 could surge 26% by 2026 to 6,500.

亚尔德尼研究总裁埃德·亚尔德尼预测,到2026年,标准普尔500指数可能上涨26%,至6,500点。

"I think this is a long-term bull market," the economist told CNBC in March. "I still got 5,400 by year-end and that was a pretty bold call a year ago, but right now that's looking pretty conservative, and why not more?"

这位经济学家在三月份告诉CNBC:“我认为这是一个长期的牛市。”“到年底我还有 5,400 个,一年前那是一个相当大胆的决定,但现在看起来相当保守,为什么不更多呢?”

Now Read: Retail Sales Rises More Than Expected In March, Indicate Strong Consumer Spending

立即阅读:3月份零售销售增长超过预期,表明消费者支出强劲

Image: Shutterstock

图片:Shutterstock

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发