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The Three-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on CITIC Offshore Helicopter (SZSE:000099) Shareholders as Stock Falls 3.8% Over the Past Week

The Three-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on CITIC Offshore Helicopter (SZSE:000099) Shareholders as Stock Falls 3.8% Over the Past Week

由于过去一周股价下跌3.8%,三年的收益下降可能会给中信海上直升机(SZSE:000099)的股东造成损失
Simply Wall St ·  04/13 20:02

It might seem bad, but the worst that can happen when you buy a stock (without leverage) is that its share price goes to zero. But if you buy shares in a really great company, you can more than double your money. For instance the CITIC Offshore Helicopter Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000099) share price is 116% higher than it was three years ago. How nice for those who held the stock! Also pleasing for shareholders was the 68% gain in the last three months. This could be related to the recent financial results, released recently - you can catch up on the most recent data by reading our company report.

这可能看起来很糟糕,但是当你买入一只股票(没有杠杆作用)时可能发生的最糟糕的情况是它的股价变为零。但是,如果你购买一家非常棒的公司的股票,你可以 更多 比你的钱翻一番。例如,中信海上直升机有限公司(深圳证券交易所:000099)的股价比三年前高出116%。对于那些持有股票的人来说真是太棒了!同样令股东高兴的是过去三个月的68%的涨幅。这可能与最近发布的最新财务业绩有关——您可以通过阅读我们的公司报告来了解最新的数据。

Although CITIC Offshore Helicopter has shed CN¥465m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

尽管中信海上直升机本周的市值下跌了4.65亿元人民币,但让我们来看看其长期基本面趋势,看看它们是否推动了回报。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:从短期来看,市场是一台投票机器,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

During the three years of share price growth, CITIC Offshore Helicopter actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 5.0% per year.

在股价增长的三年中,中信海上直升机的每股收益(EPS)实际上每年下降5.0%。

So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

因此,我们怀疑市场是否将每股收益作为公司价值的主要判断者。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化无关,因此值得一看其他指标。

The modest 0.5% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. It could be that the revenue growth of 7.6% per year is viewed as evidence that CITIC Offshore Helicopter is growing. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth, and maybe shareholder's faith in better days ahead will be rewarded.

0.5%的适度股息收益率不太可能支撑股价。每年7.6%的收入增长可能被视为中信海上直升机正在增长的证据。在这种情况下,公司可能会牺牲当前的每股收益来推动增长,也许股东对未来更美好时光的信心将得到回报。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何随着时间的推移而变化(点击图片了解确切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:000099 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 14th 2024
SZSE: 000099 2024 年 4 月 14 日收益和收入增长

We know that CITIC Offshore Helicopter has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on CITIC Offshore Helicopter

我们知道中信海上直升机公司最近提高了利润,但是未来会怎样?这份显示分析师预测的免费报告应该可以帮助您对中信海上直升机形成看法

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of CITIC Offshore Helicopter, it has a TSR of 122% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。就中信海上直升机而言,其在过去三年的总股东回报率为122%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's good to see that CITIC Offshore Helicopter has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 91% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 14% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand CITIC Offshore Helicopter better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for CITIC Offshore Helicopter that you should be aware of.

很高兴看到中信海上直升机在过去十二个月中向股东提供了91%的总股东回报率。这确实包括股息。这比五年来14%的年化回报率要好,这意味着该公司最近的表现更好。持乐观态度的人可能会将最近股东总回报率的改善视为业务本身随着时间的推移而变得更好。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解中信海上直升机,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们已经确定了中信海上直升机的一个警告标志,你应该注意这一点。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一样,那么你不会想错过这份业内人士正在收购的成长型公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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