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Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care Co., Ltd's (SHSE:605009) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?

Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care Co., Ltd's (SHSE:605009) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?

杭州皓月个人护理有限公司(SHSE: 605009)的基本面看起来相当强劲:这只股票会不会出错?
Simply Wall St ·  04/12 21:01

It is hard to get excited after looking at Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's (SHSE:605009) recent performance, when its stock has declined 9.7% over the past week. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. In this article, we decided to focus on Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's ROE.

看了杭州皓月个人护理(SHSE: 605009)的近期表现,很难感到兴奋,当时其股价在过去一周下跌了9.7%。但是,从长远来看,股票价格通常由公司的财务状况驱动,在这种情况下,这看起来相当可观。在本文中,我们决定重点关注杭州皓月个人护理的投资回报率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

投资回报率或股本回报率是评估公司如何有效地从股东那里获得投资回报的有用工具。换句话说,它揭示了公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何计算的?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通过以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care is:

因此,根据上述公式,杭州皓月个人护理的投资回报率为:

15% = CN¥471m ÷ CN¥3.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

15% = 4.71亿元人民币 ÷ 31亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.15 in profit.

“回报” 是每年的利润。这意味着,公司每获得价值1元人民币的股东权益,就会产生0.15元人民币的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长有什么关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。假设其他一切保持不变,那么与不一定具有这些特征的公司相比,投资回报率和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高。

Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's Earnings Growth And 15% ROE

杭州皓月个人护理的收益增长和15%的投资回报率

At first glance, Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care seems to have a decent ROE. Especially when compared to the industry average of 11% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. Despite this, Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's five year net income growth was quite low averaging at only 3.5%. That's a bit unexpected from a company which has such a high rate of return. We reckon that a low growth, when returns are quite high could be the result of certain circumstances like low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

乍一看,杭州皓月个人护理的投资回报率似乎不错。尤其是与行业平均水平的11%相比,该公司的投资回报率看起来相当可观。尽管如此,杭州皓月个人护理五年的净收入增长还是相当低的,平均仅为3.5%。对于一家回报率如此之高的公司来说,这有点出乎意料。我们认为,回报率相当高的低增长可能是某些情况造成的,例如收益留存率低或资本配置不善。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 7.8% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

接下来,与行业净收入增长相比,我们发现杭州皓月个人护理报告的增长低于过去几年7.8%的行业增长,这不是我们希望看到的。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:605009 Past Earnings Growth April 13th 2024
SHSE: 605009 过去的收益增长 2024 年 4 月 13 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is 605009 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。通过这样做,他们将知道股票是走向清澈的蓝色海水还是沼泽水域在等着呢。605009 的估值是否合理?这张关于公司内在价值的信息图包含了你需要知道的一切。

Is Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

杭州皓月个人护理有效再投资其利润吗?

While Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care has a decent three-year median payout ratio of 37% (or a retention ratio of 63%), it has seen very little growth in earnings. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

尽管杭州皓月个人护理的三年派息率中位数不错,为37%(或63%的留存率),但其收益几乎没有增长。因此,在这方面可能还有其他解释。例如,该公司的业务可能正在恶化。

Moreover, Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care has been paying dividends for three years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 50% over the next three years. However, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much despite the higher expected payout ratio.

此外,杭州皓月个人护理已经派发了三年股息,这是相当长的时间,这表明管理层一定已经意识到股东更喜欢分红而不是收益增长。在研究了分析师的最新共识数据后,我们发现该公司的未来派息率预计将在未来三年内升至50%。但是,尽管预期的派息率较高,但该公司的投资回报率预计不会有太大变化。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we do feel that Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care has some positive attributes. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return and is reinvesting ma huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总的来说,我们确实认为杭州皓月个人护理具有一些积极的属性。但是,低收益增长有点令人担忧,特别是考虑到该公司的回报率很高,并且正在将很大一部分利润再投资。从表面上看,可能还有其他一些因素阻碍了增长,这些因素不一定是业务的控制。话虽如此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,该公司的收益有望加速。要详细了解分析师对公司的最新预测,请查看该公司的分析师预测的可视化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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