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Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Swire Pacific Limited (HKG:19)?

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Swire Pacific Limited (HKG:19)?

现在是考虑收购太古有限公司(HKG: 19)的时候了吗?
Simply Wall St ·  04/10 18:08

Swire Pacific Limited (HKG:19) saw significant share price movement during recent months on the SEHK, rising to highs of HK$67.20 and falling to the lows of HK$60.00. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Swire Pacific's current trading price of HK$62.90 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let's take a look at Swire Pacific's outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

太古有限公司(HKG: 19)最近几个月,香港交易所的股价出现了大幅波动,升至67.20港元的高位,跌至60.00港元的低点。一些股价走势可以为投资者提供更好的入股机会,并有可能以较低的价格买入。需要回答的问题是,太古太平洋目前的62.90港元交易价格是否反映了大盘股的实际价值?还是它目前被低估了,为我们提供了买入的机会?让我们根据最新的财务数据来看看太古太平洋的前景和价值,看看是否有任何价格变动的催化剂。

What's The Opportunity In Swire Pacific?

太古太平洋的机会是什么?

Great news for investors – Swire Pacific is still trading at a fairly cheap price according to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. We've used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there's not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock's ratio of 3.1x is currently well-below the industry average of 6.66x, meaning that it is trading at a cheaper price relative to its peers. Swire Pacific's share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. If you believe the share price should eventually reach its industry peers, a low beta could suggest it is unlikely to rapidly do so anytime soon, and once it's there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range.

对投资者来说是个好消息——根据我们的多重价格模型,太古太平洋仍然以相当便宜的价格进行交易,我们将公司的市盈率与行业平均水平进行了比较。我们在这个例子中使用市盈率是因为没有足够的可见性来预测其现金流。该股的3.1倍比率目前远低于行业平均水平的6.66倍,这意味着与同行相比,其交易价格更便宜。与其他市场相比,太古太平洋的股价似乎也相对稳定,其低贝塔值就表明了这一点。如果你认为股价最终会达到业内同行,那么低的贝塔值可能表明它不太可能在短期内迅速达到这个水平,而且一旦达到这个水平,可能很难回落到一个有吸引力的买入区间。

What kind of growth will Swire Pacific generate?

太古太平洋将带来什么样的增长?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:19 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 10th 2024
SEHK: 19 2024 年 4 月 10 日的收益和收入增长

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with an extremely negative double-digit change in profit expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth is certainly not a driver of a buy decision. It seems like high uncertainty is on the cards for Swire Pacific, at least in the near future.

寻求投资组合增长的投资者可能需要在购买公司股票之前考虑公司的前景。尽管价值投资者会争辩说,最重要的是相对于价格的内在价值,但更有说服力的投资论点是以低廉的价格获得高增长潜力。但是,由于预计未来几年利润将出现极其负的两位数变化,因此短期增长肯定不是买入决定的驱动力。看来太古太平洋面临着很大的不确定性,至少在不久的将来是如此。

What This Means For You

这对你意味着什么

Are you a shareholder? Although 19 is currently trading below the industry PE ratio, the negative profit outlook does bring on some uncertainty, which equates to higher risk. Consider whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to 19, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.

你是股东吗?尽管19目前的交易价格低于行业市盈率,但负面的利润前景确实带来了一些不确定性,这意味着风险更高。考虑一下您是否想将投资组合敞口增加到19%,或者分散投资另一只股票是否是提高总风险和回报的更好举措。

Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on 19 for some time, but hesitant on making the leap, we recommend you dig deeper into the stock. Given its current price multiple, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.

你是潜在的投资者吗?如果你对19的关注已经有一段时间了,但对飞跃犹豫不决,我们建议你更深入地研究该股。鉴于其当前的价格倍数,现在是做出决定的好时机。但请记住未来负增长前景带来的风险。

So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Swire Pacific (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be familiar with.

因此,如果你想更深入地研究这只股票,那么考虑它面临的任何风险至关重要。例如,我们已经确定了你应该熟悉的太古太平洋的三个警告标志(其中一个不太适合我们)。

If you are no longer interested in Swire Pacific, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

如果您不再对太古太平洋感兴趣,您可以使用我们的免费平台查看我们列出的其他50多只具有高增长潜力的股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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