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Should Weakness in YUNDA Holding Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002120) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

Should Weakness in YUNDA Holding Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002120) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

运达控股有限公司应该出现弱点吗?”鉴于财务状况良好,s(SZSE:002120)股票被视为市场将修正股价的标志?
Simply Wall St ·  04/08 22:30

YUNDA Holding (SZSE:002120) has had a rough week with its share price down 6.2%. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. In this article, we decided to focus on YUNDA Holding's ROE.

运达控股(深圳证券交易所:002120)经历了艰难的一周,其股价下跌了6.2%。但是,该公司的基本面看起来相当不错,长期财务状况通常与未来的市场价格走势一致。在本文中,我们决定重点关注运达控股的投资回报率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。换句话说,它揭示了公司成功地将股东投资转化为利润。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何计算股本回报率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回报率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for YUNDA Holding is:

因此,根据上述公式,运达控股的投资回报率为:

10% = CN¥1.9b ÷ CN¥18b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

10% = 19亿元人民币 ÷ 18亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.10 in profit.

“回报” 是企业去年获得的收入。另一种思考方式是,公司每持有价值1元人民币的股权,就能获得0.10元的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长之间有什么关系?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

YUNDA Holding's Earnings Growth And 10% ROE

运达控股的收益增长和10%的投资回报率

On the face of it, YUNDA Holding's ROE is not much to talk about. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 7.5%, is definitely interesting. However, YUNDA Holding's five year net income decline rate was 16%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

从表面上看,运达控股的投资回报率没什么好谈的。但是,该公司的投资回报率高于7.5%的行业平均投资回报率,这一事实绝对很有趣。但是,运达控股的五年净收入下降率为16%。请记住,该公司的投资回报率确实略低。只是行业的投资回报率较低。因此,收入下降也可能是由此造成的。

So, as a next step, we compared YUNDA Holding's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 12% over the last few years.

因此,下一步,我们将运达控股的表现与行业进行了比较,失望地发现,尽管该公司一直在缩减收益,但该行业在过去几年中一直以12%的速度增长收益。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002120 Past Earnings Growth April 9th 2024
SZSE: 002120 过去的收益增长 2024 年 4 月 9 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is YUNDA Holding fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增长是股票估值的重要因素。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是为光明还是暗淡的未来而布局。与其他公司相比,运达控股的估值是否合理?这3种估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is YUNDA Holding Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

运达控股是否有效地使用了其留存收益?

YUNDA Holding's low three-year median payout ratio of 10% (or a retention ratio of 90%) over the last three years should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth but the company's earnings have actually shrunk. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For instance, the business has faced some headwinds.

在过去三年中,运达控股的三年中位数派息率很低,为10%(或90%的留存率),这应该意味着该公司保留了大部分收益来推动增长,但该公司的收益实际上已经萎缩。当公司保留大部分收益时,通常不应出现这种情况。因此,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用,这些因素可能会阻碍增长。例如,该业务面临一些阻力。

In addition, YUNDA Holding has been paying dividends over a period of seven years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 10%. Regardless, YUNDA Holding's ROE is speculated to decline to 6.3% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

此外,运达控股在七年内一直在派发股息,这表明尽管收益有所下降,但管理层仍倾向于继续支付股息。我们最新的分析师数据显示,公司未来三年的派息率预计约为10%。无论如何,尽管预期派息率没有变化,但预计运达控股的投资回报率将降至6.3%。

Conclusion

结论

In total, it does look like YUNDA Holding has some positive aspects to its business. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a moderate ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总的来说,运达控股的业务看起来确实有一些积极的方面。但是,尽管投资回报率适中,再投资率很高,但我们仍然对收益缺乏增长感到失望。我们认为,可能有一些外部因素可能会对业务产生负面影响。话虽如此,从分析师目前的估计来看,我们发现该公司的收益增长率预计将出现巨大改善。这些分析师的预期是基于对该行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击此处进入我们分析师对公司的预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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