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Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Actions Technology (SHSE:688049)

Solid Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Actions Technology (SHSE:688049)

稳健的收益可能无法说明Actions Technology的全部情况(SHSE: 688049)
Simply Wall St ·  04/01 18:05

The market shrugged off Actions Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688049) solid earnings report. Our analysis showed that there are some concerning factors in the earnings that investors may be cautious of.

市场对行动科技有限公司不屑一顾。”s (SHSE: 688049) 稳健的收益报告。我们的分析表明,收益中存在一些令人担忧的因素,投资者可能会谨慎行事。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:688049 Earnings and Revenue History April 1st 2024
SHSE: 688049 2024 年 4 月 1 日的收益和收入历史记录

A Closer Look At Actions Technology's Earnings

仔细研究行动科技的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

许多投资者还没有听说过现金流的应计比率,但它实际上是衡量公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利润的有用指标。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流的应计比率视为 “非FCF利润率”。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

这意味着负的应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所暗示的要多。尽管应计比率为正并不成问题,表示非现金利润达到一定水平,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明票面利润与现金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计收入较高的公司将来的利润往往会降低”。

For the year to December 2023, Actions Technology had an accrual ratio of -0.17. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥128m, well over the CN¥65.1m it reported in profit. Given that Actions Technology had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of CN¥128m would seem to be a step in the right direction. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

在截至2023年12月的一年中,Actions Technology的应计比率为-0.17。这意味着它的现金转化率非常好,而且其去年的收益实际上大大低估了其自由现金流。事实上,在过去的十二个月中,它报告的自由现金流为1.28亿元人民币,远远超过其公布的利润6,510万元人民币。鉴于Actions Technology在前一同期的自由现金流为负,过去十二个月的1.28亿元的业绩似乎是朝着正确方向迈出的一步。但是,这还不是要考虑的全部。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的物品如何影响利润?

Surprisingly, given Actions Technology's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥12m in unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Actions Technology had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to December 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

令人惊讶的是,鉴于Actions Technology的应计比率意味着强劲的现金转换,其票面利润实际上是由1200万元人民币的不寻常项目提高的。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当不寻常的物品做出重大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎一些。我们统计了全球大多数上市公司的数字,不寻常的物品在自然界中很常见。这正如你所预料的那样,因为这些增强被描述为 “不寻常”。相对于其截至2023年12月的利润,Actions Technology从不寻常的项目中做出了相当大的贡献。在其他条件相同的情况下,这可能会使法定利润成为衡量潜在盈利能力的不良指导。

Our Take On Actions Technology's Profit Performance

我们的行动科技的利润表现

In conclusion, Actions Technology's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Having considered these factors, we don't think Actions Technology's statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example - Actions Technology has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

总之,Actions Technology的应计比率表明其法定收益质量良好,但另一方面,利润是由不寻常的项目提振的。考虑到这些因素,我们认为Actions Technology的法定利润对业务的看法不会过于严厉。请记住,在分析股票时,值得注意所涉及的风险。例如,Actions Technology 有 2 个警告标志,我们认为您应该注意。

Our examination of Actions Technology has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我们对Actions Technology的审查侧重于某些可能使其收益看起来好于实际的因素。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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