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Shenzhen SEG Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:000058) Stock Has Seen Strong Momentum: Does That Call For Deeper Study Of Its Financial Prospects?

Shenzhen SEG Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:000058) Stock Has Seen Strong Momentum: Does That Call For Deeper Study Of Its Financial Prospects?

深圳赛格有限公司, Ltd (SZSE:000058) 的股票势头强劲:这是否需要对其财务前景进行更深入的研究?
Simply Wall St ·  03/29 20:28

Shenzhen SEGLtd's (SZSE:000058) stock is up by a considerable 6.1% over the past month. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely to see if they had a hand to play in the recent price move. In this article, we decided to focus on Shenzhen SEGLtd's ROE.

深圳证券交易所(SZSE000058)的股票在过去一个月中上涨了6.1%。鉴于股票价格通常与公司的长期财务表现一致,我们决定更仔细地研究其财务指标,看看它们在近期的价格走势中是否有机会发挥作用。在本文中,我们决定重点关注深圳证券交易所的投资回报率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。简而言之,投资回报率显示了每美元从其股东投资中产生的利润。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何计算股本回报率?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shenzhen SEGLtd is:

因此,根据上述公式,深圳证券交易所的投资回报率为:

7.2% = CN¥188m ÷ CN¥2.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

7.2% = 1.88亿元人民币 ÷ 26亿元人民币(基于截至2023年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.07 in profit.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的税后收入。这意味着,每持有价值1元人民币的股权,公司就会产生0.07元人民币的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投资回报率与收益增长之间有什么关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我们已经确定,投资回报率是衡量公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。现在,我们需要评估公司再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润以用于未来的增长,从而使我们对公司的增长潜力有所了解。一般而言,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存率高的公司的增长率要高于不具有这些属性的公司。

Shenzhen SEGLtd's Earnings Growth And 7.2% ROE

深圳证券交易所的收益增长和7.2%的投资回报率

On the face of it, Shenzhen SEGLtd's ROE is not much to talk about. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 5.4%, is definitely interesting. But then again, seeing that Shenzhen SEGLtd's net income shrunk at a rate of 6.6% in the past five years, makes us think again. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

从表面上看,深圳证券交易所的投资回报率没什么好谈的。但是,该公司的投资回报率高于5.4%的行业平均投资回报率,这一事实绝对很有趣。但话又说回来,看到深圳SegLtd的净收入在过去五年中以6.6%的速度萎缩,让我们再想一想。请记住,该公司的投资回报率确实略低。只是行业的投资回报率较低。因此,收入的下降也可能是由此造成的。

Furthermore, even when compared to the industry, which has been shrinking its earnings at a rate of 5.2% over the last few years, we found that Shenzhen SEGLtd's performance is pretty disappointing, as it suggests that the company has been shrunk its earnings at a rate faster than the industry.

此外,即使与该行业相比,该行业在过去几年中一直以5.2%的速度萎缩收益,我们也发现深圳证券交易所的表现相当令人失望,因为这表明该公司的收益缩减速度快于该行业。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000058 Past Earnings Growth March 30th 2024
SZSE:000058 过去的收益增长 2024 年 3 月 30 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shenzhen SEGLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增长是对股票进行估值时要考虑的重要指标。投资者接下来需要确定的是,预期的收益增长或缺乏收益是否已经包含在股价中。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是为光明还是暗淡的未来而布局。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据收益前景决定了市场愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,您可能需要检查相对于其行业,深圳证券交易所的市盈率是高还是低。

Is Shenzhen SEGLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

深圳证券交易所是否有效地将利润再投资?

Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 27% (or a retention ratio of 73%) which is pretty normal, Shenzhen SEGLtd's declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

纵观其三年派息率中位数为27%(或73%的留存率),这是很正常的,深圳证券交易所收益的下降相当令人困惑,因为当一家公司保留很大一部分利润时,人们预计会出现相当大的增长。看来可能还有其他一些原因可以解释这方面的不足。例如,业务可能会下滑。

In addition, Shenzhen SEGLtd has been paying dividends over a period of eight years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

此外,深圳证券交易所已经派发了八年的股息,这表明尽管收益有所下降,但管理层仍倾向于继续支付股息。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we do feel that Shenzhen SEGLtd has some positive attributes. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a respectable rate of return and is reinvesting a huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. To know the 1 risk we have identified for Shenzhen SEGLtd visit our risks dashboard for free.

总的来说,我们确实认为深圳证券交易所具有一些积极的属性。但是,低收益增长有点令人担忧,特别是考虑到该公司的回报率可观,并且正在将很大一部分利润再投资。从表面上看,可能还有其他一些因素阻碍了增长,这些因素不一定是业务的控制。虽然我们不会完全解散公司,但我们要做的是努力确定业务的风险,以便在公司周围做出更明智的决定。要了解我们为深圳证券交易所确定的1种风险,请免费访问我们的风险仪表板。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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