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Viva Goods (HKG:933) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Viva Goods (HKG:933) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Viva Goods(HKG: 933)有债务但没有收益;你应该担心吗?
Simply Wall St ·  03/29 18:03

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Viva Goods Company Limited (HKG:933) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。重要的是,Viva Goods Company Limited(HKG: 933)确实有债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业无法还清贷方,那么债务就任其摆布。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能一无所有地离开。尽管这种情况不太常见,但我们经常看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以低价筹集资金。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。考虑公司债务水平的第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Viva Goods's Net Debt?

Viva Goods 的净负债是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Viva Goods had debt of HK$187.2m at the end of December 2023, a reduction from HK$344.1m over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds HK$1.28b in cash, so it actually has HK$1.09b net cash.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2023年12月底,Viva Goods的债务为1.872亿港元,较上一年的3.441亿港元有所减少。但是,其资产负债表显示其持有12.8亿港元的现金,因此实际上拥有10.9亿港元的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:933 Debt to Equity History March 29th 2024
SEHK: 933 2024 年 3 月 29 日债务与股本比率的历史记录

How Strong Is Viva Goods' Balance Sheet?

Viva Goods的资产负债表有多强?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Viva Goods had liabilities of HK$3.80b due within 12 months and liabilities of HK$1.86b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had HK$1.28b in cash and HK$766.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$3.61b.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,Viva Goods在12个月内到期的负债为38.0亿港元,之后到期的负债为18.6亿港元。与此相抵消的是,它有12.8亿港元的现金和7.668亿港元的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额36.1亿港元。

Viva Goods has a market capitalization of HK$7.19b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Viva Goods boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Viva Goods will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Viva Goods的市值为71.9亿港元,因此,如果有需要,它很可能会筹集资金以改善其资产负债表。但是,我们绝对希望留意其债务带来过大风险的迹象。尽管负债值得关注,但Viva Goods拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为Viva Goods需要收益来偿还债务。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得一看收益趋势。单击此处查看交互式快照。

In the last year Viva Goods wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 63%, to HK$11b. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

去年,Viva Goods在息税前利润水平上没有盈利,但其收入增长了63%,达到110亿港元。运气好的话,该公司将能够实现盈利。

So How Risky Is Viva Goods?

那么 Viva 商品的风险有多大?

While Viva Goods lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow HK$79m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. The good news for Viva Goods shareholders is that its revenue growth is strong, making it easier to raise capital if need be. But that doesn't change our opinion that the stock is risky. For riskier companies like Viva Goods I always like to keep an eye on whether insiders are buying or selling. So click here if you want to find out for yourself.

尽管Viva Goods的息税前收益(EBIT)水平出现亏损,但它实际上创造了7900万港元的正自由现金流。因此,从面值来看,考虑到净现金状况,我们认为该股在短期内风险不大。对Viva Goods股东来说,好消息是其收入增长强劲,因此在需要时更容易筹集资金。但这并不能改变我们对股票有风险的看法。对于像Viva Goods这样的风险较高的公司,我总是喜欢关注内部人士是在买入还是卖出。因此,如果您想亲自了解一下,请单击此处。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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