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We Think Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd (SHSE:688533) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd (SHSE:688533) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为苏州索纳沃克斯电子有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:688533)可以继续偿还债务
Simply Wall St ·  03/28 01:02

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Suzhou SONAVOX Electronics Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688533) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。与许多其他公司一样,苏州索纳沃克斯电子有限公司, Ltd.(上海证券交易所股票代码:688533)使用债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以诱人的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会成为风险。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。考虑公司的债务水平的第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。

How Much Debt Does Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd Carry?

苏州索纳沃克斯电子有限公司背负了多少债务?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd had CN¥877.7m of debt, up from CN¥581.7m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥703.8m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥173.9m.

如下所示,截至2023年9月底,苏州索纳沃克斯电子有限公司的债务为8.777亿元人民币,高于去年同期的5.817亿元人民币。点击图片查看更多细节。但是,由于其现金储备为7.038亿元人民币,其净负债较少,约为1.739亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688533 Debt to Equity History March 28th 2024
SHSE: 688533 2024 年 3 月 28 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Healthy Is Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd's Balance Sheet?

苏州索纳沃克斯电子有限公司的资产负债表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd had liabilities of CN¥925.0m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥570.7m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥703.8m as well as receivables valued at CN¥787.8m due within 12 months. So these liquid assets roughly match the total liabilities.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,苏州SONAVOX电子有限公司的负债为9.25亿元人民币,此后到期的负债为5.707亿元人民币。除这些债务外,它有7.038亿元的现金以及价值7.878亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,这些流动资产与总负债大致相当。

Having regard to Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥4.20b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet.

考虑到苏州SONAVOX电子有限公司的规模,其流动资产与总负债的平衡似乎良好。因此,尽管很难想象这家420亿元人民币的公司正在为现金而苦苦挣扎,但我们仍然认为值得监控其资产负债表。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我们使用两个主要比率来告知我们相对于收益的债务水平。第一个是净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),第二个是其利息和税前收益(EBIT)覆盖其利息支出(或简称利息保障)的多少倍。这种方法的优势在于,我们既考虑了债务的绝对数量(包括净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润),也考虑了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(及其利息覆盖率)。

Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.77. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 23.2 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Better yet, Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd grew its EBIT by 235% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

苏州索纳沃克斯电子有限公司的净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润的比率很低,仅为0.77。其息税前利润高达23.2倍的利息支出。因此,我们对它超保守的债务使用相当放松。更好的是,苏州索纳沃克斯电子有限公司去年的息税前利润增长了235%,这是一个令人印象深刻的改善。这种提振将使未来偿还债务变得更加容易。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,未来的收益比什么都重要,将决定苏州SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。因此,我们显然需要研究息税前利润是否会带来相应的自由现金流。在过去的三年中,苏州SONAVOX电子有限公司的自由现金流总额为负数。尽管投资者无疑预计这种情况将在适当的时候逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。

Our View

我们的观点

Happily, Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. All these things considered, it appears that Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Suzhou SONAVOX ElectronicsLtd that you should be aware of.

令人高兴的是,苏州SONAVOX电子有限公司令人印象深刻的利息保障意味着其债务占上风。但严峻的事实是,我们对其将息税前利润转换为自由现金流感到担忧。考虑到所有这些因素,苏州SONAVOX电子有限公司似乎可以轻松应对其当前的债务水平。从好的方面来看,这种杠杆作用可以提高股东的回报,但潜在的缺点是损失风险更大,因此值得关注资产负债表。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。例如,我们已经确定了苏州索纳沃克斯电子有限公司的一个警告标志,你应该注意这个标志。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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