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Investors in China Railway Signal & Communication (HKG:3969) Have Unfortunately Lost 33% Over the Last Five Years

Investors in China Railway Signal & Communication (HKG:3969) Have Unfortunately Lost 33% Over the Last Five Years

不幸的是,中国铁路信号与通信(HKG: 3969)的投资者在过去五年中损失了33%
Simply Wall St ·  03/26 20:58

While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the China Railway Signal & Communication Corporation Limited (HKG:3969) share price has gained 14% in the last three months. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been less than pleasing. After all, the share price is down 51% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.

虽然不是一个令人兴奋的举动,但很高兴看到中国铁路信号通信股份有限公司(HKG: 3969)的股价在过去三个月中上涨了14%。但这并不能改变这样一个事实,即过去五年的回报并不令人满意。毕竟,当时股价下跌了51%,表现大大低于市场。

Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

现在让我们来看看公司的基本面,看看长期股东回报是否与基础业务的表现相匹配。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

不可否认,市场有时是有效的,但价格并不总是能反映潜在的业务表现。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和一段时间内的股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的态度是如何随着时间的推移而变化的。

During the five years over which the share price declined, China Railway Signal & Communication's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 2.9% each year. This reduction in EPS is less than the 13% annual reduction in the share price. This implies that the market is more cautious about the business these days. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 8.25.

在股价下跌的五年中,中国铁路信号通信的每股收益(EPS)每年下降2.9%。每股收益的下降幅度低于股价每年下降13%的幅度。这意味着当今市场对该业务更加谨慎。不太乐观的情绪反映在其当前市盈率8.25上。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

你可以在下面看到 EPS 是如何随着时间的推移而变化的(点击图片发现确切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SEHK:3969 Earnings Per Share Growth March 27th 2024
SEHK: 3969 每股收益增长 2024 年 3 月 27 日

Dive deeper into China Railway Signal & Communication's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of China Railway Signal & Communication's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

查看这张中国铁路信号通信收益、收入和现金流的交互式图表,深入了解中国铁路信号与通信的关键指标。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of China Railway Signal & Communication, it has a TSR of -33% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。就中国铁路信号通信而言,其股东回报率在过去5年中为-33%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's nice to see that China Railway Signal & Communication shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 3.5% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That certainly beats the loss of about 6% per year over the last half decade. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for China Railway Signal & Communication you should be aware of.

很高兴看到中国铁路信号通信股东去年获得了 3.5% 的股东总回报率。当然,这包括股息。这无疑超过了过去五年中每年约6%的损失。长期亏损使我们保持谨慎,但短期股东总回报率的增长无疑暗示着更光明的未来。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。一个很好的例子:我们发现了一个你应该注意的中国铁路信号通信警告标志。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

对于那些喜欢寻找中奖投资的人来说,这份最近有内幕收购的成长型公司的免费名单可能只是门票。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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