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What Lisi Group (Holdings) Limited's (HKG:526) 33% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
What Lisi Group (Holdings) Limited's (HKG:526) 33% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Lisi Group (Holdings) Limited (HKG:526) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 33% share price jump in the last month. Looking further back, the 19% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Lisi Group (Holdings)'s P/S ratio of 0.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Consumer Durables industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
How Lisi Group (Holdings) Has Been Performing
Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Lisi Group (Holdings), which is generally not a bad outcome. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to only match most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. If not, then at least existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Lisi Group (Holdings)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
Lisi Group (Holdings)'s P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.7%. However, due to its less than impressive performance prior to this period, revenue growth is practically non-existent over the last three years overall. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 33% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Lisi Group (Holdings)'s P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Lisi Group (Holdings)'s P/S?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Lisi Group (Holdings)'s P/S is back within range of the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Lisi Group (Holdings)'s average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Lisi Group (Holdings) you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
利时集团(控股)有限公司(HKG: 526)股东的耐心得到了回报,股价在上个月上涨了33%。再往前看,尽管在过去的30天中表现强劲,但过去十二个月的19%的增长并不算太糟糕。
尽管其价格飙升,但你对利时集团(控股)0.2倍的市盈率漠不关心仍然是可以原谅的,因为香港耐用消费品行业的中位市销率(或 “市盈率”)也接近0.4倍。尽管这可能不会引起任何关注,但如果市销率不合理,投资者可能会错过潜在的机会或无视迫在眉睫的失望情绪。
Lisi 集团(控股)的表现如何
去年,Lisi集团(控股)的收入稳步增长,这通常不是一个坏结果。许多人可能预计,在未来一段时间内,可观的收入表现只能与大多数其他公司相提并论,这阻碍了市销率的上升。如果不是,那么至少现有股东对股价的未来走向可能不会太悲观。
我们没有分析师的预测,但您可以查看我们关于Lisi Group(Holdings)收益、收入和现金流的免费报告,了解最近的趋势如何为公司的未来做好准备。收入增长指标告诉我们有关市销率的哪些信息?
Lisi Group(Holdings)的市销率对于一家预计只会实现适度增长且重要的是表现与行业持平的公司来说是典型的。
如果我们回顾一下去年的收入增长,该公司公布了3.7%的可观增长。但是,由于在此之前的表现并不令人印象深刻,在过去三年中,总体收入几乎没有增长。因此,可以公平地说,该公司最近的收入增长一直不稳定。
这与该行业的其他部门形成鲜明对比,该行业预计明年将增长33%,大大高于该公司最近的中期年化增长率。
考虑到这一点,我们觉得有趣的是,利时集团(控股)的市销率与业内同行相当。看来大多数投资者都无视近期相当有限的增长率,愿意为股票敞口付出代价。如果市销率降至更符合近期增长率的水平,他们可能会为未来的失望做好准备。
我们可以从Lisi集团(控股)的市销率中学到什么?
其股价已大幅上涨,现在利西集团(控股)的市销率已恢复在行业中位数范围内。我们可以说,市销比率的力量主要不是作为一种估值工具,而是用来衡量当前的投资者情绪和未来预期。
我们已经确定,利时集团(控股)的平均市销率有点出人意料,因为其最近三年的增长低于整个行业的预测。目前,我们对市销率感到不舒服,因为这种收入表现不太可能长期支撑更积极的情绪。如果最近的中期收入趋势继续下去,股价下跌的可能性将变得相当大,从而使股东面临风险。
你应该时刻考虑风险。举个例子,我们发现了你应该注意的利西集团(控股)的两个警告信号,其中一个对我们来说不太合适。
当然,具有良好收益增长历史的盈利公司通常是更安全的选择。因此,您可能希望看到这些免费收集的市盈率合理且收益增长强劲的其他公司。
对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧?直接联系我们。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。
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moomoo是Moomoo Technologies Inc.公司提供的金融信息和交易应用程序。
在美国,moomoo上的投资产品和服务由Moomoo Financial Inc.提供,一家受美国证券交易委员会(SEC)监管的持牌主体。 Moomoo Financial Inc.是金融业监管局(FINRA)和证券投资者保护公司(SIPC)的成员。
在新加坡,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd.提供,该公司受新加坡金融管理局(MAS)监管(牌照号码︰CMS101000) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMS) ,持有财务顾问豁免(Exempt Financial Adviser)资质。本内容未经新加坡金融管理局的审查。
在澳大利亚,moomoo上的金融产品和服务是通过Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd提供,该公司是受澳大利亚证券和投资委员会(ASIC)监管的澳大利亚金融服务许可机构(AFSL No. 224663)。请阅读并理解我们的《金融服务指南》、《条款与条件》、《隐私政策》和其他披露文件,这些文件可在我们的网站 https://www.moomoo.com/au中获取。
在加拿大,通过moomoo应用提供的仅限订单执行的券商服务由Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.提供,并受加拿大投资监管机构(CIRO)监管。
在马来西亚,moomoo上的投资产品和服务是通过Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd. 提供,该公司受马来西亚证券监督委员会(SC)监管(牌照号码︰eCMSL/A0397/2024) ,持有资本市场服务牌照 (CMSL) 。本内容未经马来西亚证券监督委员会的审查。
Moomoo Technologies Inc., Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Financial Singapore Pte. Ltd., Futu Securities (Australia) Ltd, Moomoo Financial Canada Inc.,和Moomoo Securities Malaysia Sdn. Bhd.是关联公司。
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