Is Xgimi TechnologyLtd (SHSE:688696) A Risky Investment?
Is Xgimi TechnologyLtd (SHSE:688696) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Xgimi Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688696) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。与许多其他公司一样,Xgimi Technology Co., Ltd.(上海证券交易所股票代码:688696)使用债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务会带来多大的风险?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务会带来什么风险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业无法还清贷方,那么债务就任其摆布。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东,这样才能控制债务。当然,许多公司使用债务为增长提供资金,而不会产生任何负面后果。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。
What Is Xgimi TechnologyLtd's Debt?
Xgimi TechnologyLtd的债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Xgimi TechnologyLtd had CN¥660.3m of debt, an increase on CN¥300.0m, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥2.32b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.66b net cash.
你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年9月,极米科技有限公司在一年内有6.603亿元人民币的债务,比3亿元人民币增加了3亿元人民币。但是,其资产负债表显示其持有23.2亿元人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有16.6亿元人民币的净现金。
A Look At Xgimi TechnologyLtd's Liabilities
看看极米科技有限公司的负债
The latest balance sheet data shows that Xgimi TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.14b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.15b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.32b as well as receivables valued at CN¥166.3m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥190.9m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,极米科技有限公司的负债为11.4亿元人民币在一年内到期,11.5亿元人民币的负债在此之后到期。除这些债务外,它有23.2亿元人民币的现金以及价值1.663亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出1.909亿元人民币 总 负债。
This surplus suggests that Xgimi TechnologyLtd has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Xgimi TechnologyLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
这种盈余表明极米科技有限公司的资产负债表比较保守,可以毫不费力地消除债务。简而言之,Xgimi TechnologyLtd的现金多于债务这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。
It is just as well that Xgimi TechnologyLtd's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 92% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Xgimi TechnologyLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
同样重要的是,极米科技有限公司的负担并不太重,因为其息税前利润比去年下降了92%。在还清债务方面,收入下降对健康的作用并不比含糖的苏打水更有用。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定极米科技有限公司能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Xgimi TechnologyLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Xgimi TechnologyLtd's free cash flow amounted to 43% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本无法减少债务。Xgimi TechnologyLtd的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但研究该企业如何将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理债务的能力。在过去三年中,极米科技有限公司的自由现金流占其息税前利润的43%,低于我们的预期。在偿还债务方面,这并不好。
Summing Up
总结
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Xgimi TechnologyLtd has net cash of CN¥1.66b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with Xgimi TechnologyLtd's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Xgimi TechnologyLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
虽然我们同情那些认为债务令人担忧的投资者,但您应该记住,极米科技有限公司的净现金为16.6亿元人民币,流动资产比负债还多。因此,我们对Xgimi TechnologyLtd使用债务没有任何问题。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。请注意,Xgimi TechnologyLtd在我们的投资分析中显示了两个警告信号,你应该知道...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
归根结底,通常最好将注意力集中在没有净负债的公司身上。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长记录)。它是免费的。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。