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We Think Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd (SHSE:600389) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd (SHSE:600389) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为南通江山农化股份有限公司(上海证券交易所代码:600389)可以继续偿还债务
Simply Wall St ·  03/25 23:13

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & Chemicals Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600389) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。我们注意到南通江山农化有限公司, Ltd.(上海证券交易所股票代码:600389)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

当企业无法轻易履行这些义务时,无论是通过自由现金流还是以诱人的价格筹集资金,债务和其他负债就会面临风险。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东,这样才能控制债务。但是,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的一个非常好的工具。当我们研究债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

How Much Debt Does Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd Carry?

南通江山农化有限公司背负了多少债务?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd had CN¥807.6m of debt, an increase on CN¥635.0m, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥2.44b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.63b net cash.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2023年9月,南通江山农化有限公司在一年内有8.076亿元人民币的债务,比6.35亿加元人民币增加了6.35亿加元。但是,其资产负债表显示其持有24.4亿元人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有16.3亿元人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600389 Debt to Equity History March 26th 2024
SHSE: 600389 2024 年 3 月 26 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Strong Is Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd's Balance Sheet?

南通江山农化化工有限公司的资产负债表有多强?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.83b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥907.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.44b as well as receivables valued at CN¥321.5m due within 12 months. So its total liabilities are just about perfectly matched by its shorter-term, liquid assets.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,南通江山农化股份有限公司在12个月内到期的负债为18.3亿元人民币,12个月以后到期的负债为9.075亿元人民币。除这些债务外,它有24.4亿元人民币的现金以及价值3.215亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,其总负债与其短期流动资产几乎完全匹配。

Having regard to Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥5.80b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Succinctly put, Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

考虑到南通江山农化有限公司的规模,其流动资产与总负债的平衡似乎良好。因此,尽管很难想象这家580亿元人民币的公司正在为现金而苦苦挣扎,但我们仍然认为值得监控其资产负债表。简而言之,南通江山农化有限公司拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 81% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

如果管理层无法阻止去年再次削减81%的息税前利润,那么其适度的债务负担对南通江山农化股份有限公司来说可能变得至关重要。在还清债务方面,收入下降对健康的作用并不比含糖的苏打水更有用。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定南通江山农化有限公司能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 86% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。南通江山农化股份有限公司资产负债表上可能有净现金,但仍然值得关注的是该企业如何将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去的三年中,南通江山农化股份有限公司的自由现金流相当于其息税前利润的86%,比我们通常预期的要强。这使其在偿还债务方面处于非常有利的地位。

Summing Up

总结

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd has CN¥1.63b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥517m, being 86% of its EBIT. So we are not troubled with Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Nantong Jiangshan Agrochemical & ChemicalsLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

尽管调查一家公司的债务总是明智的,但在本案中,南通江山农化有限公司拥有16.3亿元人民币的净现金和不错的资产负债表。它以5.17亿元人民币的自由现金流给我们留下了深刻的印象,占其息税前利润的86%。因此,我们对南通江山农化有限公司的债务使用并不感到困扰。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。请注意,南通江山农化有限公司在我们的投资分析中显示了两个警告信号,你应该知道...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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