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Is Weifu High-Technology Group (SZSE:000581) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is Weifu High-Technology Group (SZSE:000581) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

威富高科技集团(SZSE: 000581)是否以冒险的方式使用债务?
Simply Wall St ·  03/25 22:03

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Weifu High-Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000581) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

霍华德·马克斯说得好,他说的不是担心股价的波动,而是 “永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险... 也是我认识的每位实际投资者所担心的风险。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。我们注意到,威富高科技集团有限公司(SZSE: 000581)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:债务创造了多大的风险?

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法偿还贷款,那么债务就任其摆布。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东。但是,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的极好工具。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

How Much Debt Does Weifu High-Technology Group Carry?

威富高科技集团背负了多少债务?

As you can see below, Weifu High-Technology Group had CN¥1.74b of debt at September 2023, down from CN¥4.14b a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥4.81b in cash, so it actually has CN¥3.07b net cash.

如下所示,截至2023年9月,威富高科技集团的债务为17.4亿元人民币,低于去年同期的41.4亿元人民币。但是,其资产负债表显示其持有48.1亿元人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有30.7亿元人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000581 Debt to Equity History March 26th 2024
SZSE: 000581 2024 年 3 月 26 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Strong Is Weifu High-Technology Group's Balance Sheet?

威富高科技集团的资产负债表有多强?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Weifu High-Technology Group had liabilities of CN¥7.01b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥905.5m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥4.81b in cash and CN¥6.43b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥3.32b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,威富高科技集团的负债为70.1亿元人民币,此后到期的负债为9.055亿元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有48.1亿元的现金和64.3亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它拥有的流动资产可以多出33.2亿元人民币 负债。

This surplus suggests that Weifu High-Technology Group is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Weifu High-Technology Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Weifu High-Technology Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

这种盈余表明威富高科技集团正在以看似既安全又保守的方式使用债务。鉴于它很容易拥有足够的短期流动性,我们认为其贷款机构不会有任何问题。简而言之,威富高科技集团的现金多于债务,这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,未来的收益将决定威富高科技集团未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

In the last year Weifu High-Technology Group wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 2.5%, to CN¥11b. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

去年,威富高科技集团在息税前利润水平上没有盈利,但成功将其收入增长了2.5%,达到110亿元人民币。就我们的口味而言,这种增长速度有点慢,但要创造一个世界需要所有类型。

So How Risky Is Weifu High-Technology Group?

那么威富高科技集团的风险有多大?

Although Weifu High-Technology Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it made a statutory profit of CN¥174m. So taking that on face value, and considering the cash, we don't think its very risky in the near term. With mediocre revenue growth in the last year, we're don't find the investment opportunity particularly compelling. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Weifu High-Technology Group that you should be aware of.

尽管威富高科技集团在过去十二个月中出现了息税前收益(EBIT)亏损,但其法定利润为1.74亿元人民币。因此,从面值来看,考虑到现金,我们认为短期内风险不大。由于去年的收入增长平平,我们认为投资机会并不特别引人注目。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,我们已经为威富高科技集团确定了两个警告信号,你应该注意这些信号。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

当一切都说完之后,有时更容易将注意力集中在甚至不需要债务的公司上。读者现在可以100%免费访问净负债为零的成长型股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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